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Emerson Electric Company (EMR) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $132.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process,... Read more

$132.22+11.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#19 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.42%
IncomeYield1.68%(5y avg 2.03%)Payout50.12%sustainable
Stop $127.02Target $147.42(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$163.80+23.9%27 analysts
$147.42our TP
$132.22price
$163.80mean
$104
$205

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $132.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Val5.5Qual6.7Grw5.4Mom2.5Sent7.5Ins5.0Peer3.0Tech8.3Risk6.95.5OVERALL

Recent Developments — Emerson Electric Company

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 5, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Missouri | 1-278 | 43-0259330 --------------------------------- (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | ------------------- (Commission | --------------------------- (I.R.S.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.6
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$74.1B
EV/EBITDA14.7
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth2.9%
Beta1.25
Dividend1.68%
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV41%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Missouri | 1-278 | 43-0259330 --------------------------------- (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | ------------------- (Commission | --------------------------- (I.R.S.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Obv
4.3
Rsi
4.5
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Value Rank
4.2
Quality Rank
5.5
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $130.95Resistance $148.87

Price Targets

$127
$147
A.Upside+11.5%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $132.22 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $127.02. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $147.42 (+11.5% upside). Prior stop was $127.02. Stop-loss: $127.02.

What are the risks of investing in EMR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is EMR overvalued or undervalued?

Emerson Electric Company trades at a P/E of 30.6 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EMR?

35 analysts cover EMR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $164.

What does Emerson Electric Company do?Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that...

Emerson Electric Co. ("Emerson", "we", "us", "our" or the "Company") is a global technology and software company that provides innovative solutions for customers in a wide range of end markets around the world. Through its leading automation portfolio, Emerson helps process, hybrid and discrete manufacturers optimize operations, protect personnel, reduce emissions and achieve their sustainability goals.

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