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EEExcelerate Energy, Inc.Sell6.5·$34.60-1.26%
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Excelerate Energy, Inc. (EE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. At $34.60, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Excelerate Energy owns and operates 11 floating regasification terminals and one onshore terminal across 10 countries, providing LNG regasification services and natural gas, LNG, power, and steam sales under long-term take-or-pay contracts. Revenue comes primarily from fixed... Read more

$34.60+4.9% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#11 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.39%
IncomeYield0.91%Payout25.21%sustainable
Stop $32.34Target $36.29(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$41.71+20.5%12 analysts
$36.29our TP
$34.60price
$41.71mean
$48

Sell if holding. At $34.60, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Excelerate Energy, Inc.

About Excelerate Energy, Inc.

Excelerate Energy controls or operates 11 floating regasification terminals plus one onshore terminal across 10 countries — Argentina, Bangladesh, Brazil, Finland, Germany, Iraq, Jamaica, Pakistan, the UAE, and the United States — holding approximately $3.3 billion in minimum contracted terminal services backlog and $17.0 billion in contracted LNG, gas, and power agreements as of December 31, 2025. The company employs 1,046 colleagues, including 698 seafarers. Excelerate is the largest provider of regasified LNG capacity in Argentina, Bangladesh, Finland, Jamaica, and the UAE.

Excelerate earns revenue through two streams: terminal services (fixed daily rates under long-term take-or-pay contracts with state-owned energy companies and transmission operators, weighted average remaining term of 5.8 years) and sales of natural gas, LNG, power, and steam (weighted average remaining term of 9.3 years). Terminal service customers are generally responsible for fuel, port fees, and LNG boil-off; Excelerate provides crew, technical, and operational services at a daily rate subject to contractual inflation escalators. Key 2025 developments included completing the acquisition of New Fortress Energy's Jamaica business — adding the Montego Bay and Old Harbour LNG terminals plus the Clarendon combined heat and power plant — and signing a five-year Iraq Project agreement with Iraq's Ministry of Electricity for up to 500 MMscf/d, expected to commence in the third quarter of 2026. Excelerate sources LNG primarily through long-term offtake agreements, pricing sales back-to-back with purchase terms to limit commodity margin exposure.

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Near-term cash generation depends on a small number of customers: in 2025, three customers each accounted for more than 10% of revenues at times, and the 10-K warns that loss of any one of them could materially reduce revenues. Contracts contain termination rights for extended force majeure and material breach, and some customers hold optional early-exit provisions upon payment of termination fees. Political risk compounds customer credit risk: Bangladesh, where Excelerate operates two terminals and signed a 15-year LNG supply agreement with Petrobangla in November 2023, experienced a change in government in 2024 — an event the 10-K specifically cites as a political risk example.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

From Excelerate Energy, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.9%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.4
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth37.6%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.91%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C25.43bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$41+18.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerthree customers over 10% of revenues
    10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025 and 2024, we had three and two customers, respectively, that, at times, accounted for over 10% of our revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
1.7
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 91.0%
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.53Resistance $36.69

Price Targets

$32
$36
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $34.60, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.9%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $32.34. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.29 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $32.34. Stop-loss: $32.34.

What are the risks of investing in EE?

Thin upside margin: 4.9%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is EE overvalued or undervalued?

Excelerate Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.4 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EE?

20 analysts cover EE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Excelerate Energy, Inc. do?Excelerate Energy owns and operates 11 floating regasification terminals and one onshore terminal across 10 countries,...

Excelerate Energy owns and operates 11 floating regasification terminals and one onshore terminal across 10 countries, providing LNG regasification services and natural gas, LNG, power, and steam sales under long-term take-or-pay contracts. Revenue comes primarily from fixed daily-rate terminal services agreements and integrated commodity sales to state-owned energy companies in Argentina, Bangladesh, Brazil, Finland, Germany, Iraq, Jamaica, Pakistan, the UAE, and the United States.

Related stocks: TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TNK (Teekay Tankers Ltd.)
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