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DYDycom Industries, Inc.Hold6.7·$429.81-2.40%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats averaging 26% upside surprise and industry-leading revenue growth of 56% year over year support a constructive thesis; the primary restraints are leverage near 1.6x debt-to-equity and an asymmetry ratio that has not yet cleared the stricter threshold at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Leverage Limits Financial FlexibilityDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Dycom Industries, Inc. (DY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $429.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services — including fiber placement, wireless construction, and underground facility locating — for telecommunications providers and utilities across all 50 U.S. states, operating through 38 subsidiaries with approximately 19,556... Read more

$429.81+29.0% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#3 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.23%
Stop $399.72Target $554.43(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$637.27+48.3%11 analysts
$554.43our TP
$429.81price
$637.27mean
$700

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $429.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Dycom Industries, Inc.

About Dycom Industries, Inc.

Dycom Industries carried total backlog of $9.542 billion at January 31, 2026 — $8.334 billion in Communications and $1.208 billion in the newly formed Building Systems segment — up from $7.760 billion a year earlier, employing approximately 19,556 people across all 50 U.S. states. In fiscal 2026, AT&T Inc. represented 25.4% of total contract revenues, Verizon Communications 14.0%, and Lumen Technologies 10.8%, together accounting for more than half of revenues.

Dycom generates revenue under master service agreements with discrete per-task pricing, covering aerial, underground, and wireless construction; fiber, copper, and coaxial cable placement and splicing; underground facility locating; and engineering and permitting services for telecommunications providers and utilities. The Building Systems segment — added via the Power Solutions acquisition in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 — provides electrical, energy management, security, and fire safety systems for data centers and other critical facilities. For the majority of Communications segment work, customers supply the required materials, limiting input-cost risk; under contracts where Dycom supplies materials, the company does not depend on any one source. The 12-month portion of total backlog stood at $6.358 billion as of January 31, 2026, providing near-term revenue visibility. Fuel price fluctuations may weigh on margins under fixed-task contracts that do not permit mid-term pricing adjustments.

Show full overview

Dycom's customer concentration is structural to its business model: AT&T, Verizon, and Lumen together accounted for more than 50% of fiscal 2026 contract revenues under master service agreements cancellable with little or no advance notice. Ongoing consolidation reshapes this customer map: Verizon absorbed Frontier Communications on January 20, 2026, and AT&T completed its acquisition of Lumen's mass markets fiber business on February 2, 2026. If a surviving entity after a merger chooses a competitor, Dycom's revenues and backlog could be impaired without a contractual remedy.

See also: Industrials · Engineering & Construction

From Dycom Industries, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — Dycom Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-27T12:57:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.0
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$12.9B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth56.1%
Beta1.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.70bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$300-30.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAT&T Inc.25%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived approximately 25.4% of our total contract revenues from AT&T Inc.'
  • LOWCustomerVerizon Communications, Inc.14%
    10-K Item 1: '14.0% from Verizon Communications, Inc.'
  • LOWCustomerLumen Technologies Inc.11%
    10-K Item 1: '10.8% from Lumen Technologies Inc.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Laurie J. Thomsen (mandatory retirement per Board Tenure policy) and Luis Avila-Marco (chose not to stand for reelection, notified Board Dec 18, 2025) retired at conclusion of 2026 Annual Meeting (May 28, 2026). Board reduced from 11 to 9. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Raejeanne Skillern appointed to Board effective March 24, 2026, as an independent director for term expiring at the 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement or arrangement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $395.01Resistance $513.84

Price Targets

$400
$554
A.Upside+29.0%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$637

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $429.81, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $554.43 (+29.0%), stop $399.72 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $554.43 (+29.0% upside). Target $554.43 (+29.0%), stop $399.72 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Stop-loss: $399.72.

What are the risks of investing in DY?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is DY overvalued or undervalued?

Dycom Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.0 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DY?

20 analysts cover DY with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $637.

What does Dycom Industries, Inc. do?Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services — including fiber placement, wireless construction, and...

Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services — including fiber placement, wireless construction, and underground facility locating — for telecommunications providers and utilities across all 50 U.S. states, operating through 38 subsidiaries with approximately 19,556 employees. Revenue is generated under master service agreements and project-specific contracts, with AT&T (25.4%), Verizon (14.0%), and Lumen Technologies (10.8%) together accounting for more than half of fiscal 2026 contract revenues. The company added a Building Systems segment in fiscal 2026 via the Power Solutions a

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