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DYDycom Industries, Inc.Sell6.2·$471.72+0.09%
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Dycom Industries, Inc. (DY) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. At $471.72, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services — including fiber placement, wireless construction, and underground facility locating — for telecommunications providers and utilities across all 50 U.S. states, operating through 38 subsidiaries with approximately 19,556... Read more

$471.72+17.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.04%
Stop $438.70Target $554.43(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$637.27+35.1%11 analysts
$554.43our TP
$471.72price
$637.27mean
$700

Sell if holding. At $471.72, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Dycom Industries, Inc.

About Dycom Industries, Inc.

Dycom Industries carried total backlog of $9.542 billion at January 31, 2026 — $8.334 billion in Communications and $1.208 billion in the newly formed Building Systems segment — up from $7.760 billion a year earlier, employing approximately 19,556 people across all 50 U.S. states. In fiscal 2026, AT&T Inc. represented 25.4% of total contract revenues, Verizon Communications 14.0%, and Lumen Technologies 10.8%, together accounting for more than half of revenues.

Dycom generates revenue under master service agreements with discrete per-task pricing, covering aerial, underground, and wireless construction; fiber, copper, and coaxial cable placement and splicing; underground facility locating; and engineering and permitting services for telecommunications providers and utilities. The Building Systems segment — added via the Power Solutions acquisition in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 — provides electrical, energy management, security, and fire safety systems for data centers and other critical facilities. For the majority of Communications segment work, customers supply the required materials, limiting input-cost risk; under contracts where Dycom supplies materials, the company does not depend on any one source. The 12-month portion of total backlog stood at $6.358 billion as of January 31, 2026, providing near-term revenue visibility. Fuel price fluctuations may weigh on margins under fixed-task contracts that do not permit mid-term pricing adjustments.

Show full overview

Dycom's customer concentration is structural to its business model: AT&T, Verizon, and Lumen together accounted for more than 50% of fiscal 2026 contract revenues under master service agreements cancellable with little or no advance notice. Ongoing consolidation reshapes this customer map: Verizon absorbed Frontier Communications on January 20, 2026, and AT&T completed its acquisition of Lumen's mass markets fiber business on February 2, 2026. If a surviving entity after a merger chooses a competitor, Dycom's revenues and backlog could be impaired without a contractual remedy.

See also: Industrials · Engineering & Construction

From Dycom Industries, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Dycom Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T09:02:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202670d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.1
P/E (Fwd)23.5
Mkt Cap$14.1B
EV/EBITDA20.1
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth56.1%
Beta1.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.23bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$840+78.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAT&T Inc.25%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived approximately 25.4% of our total contract revenues from AT&T Inc.'
  • LOWCustomerVerizon Communications, Inc.14%
    10-K Item 1: '14.0% from Verizon Communications, Inc.'
  • LOWCustomerLumen Technologies Inc.11%
    10-K Item 1: '10.8% from Lumen Technologies Inc.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Laurie J. Thomsen (mandatory retirement per Board Tenure policy) and Luis Avila-Marco (chose not to stand for reelection, notified Board Dec 18, 2025) retired at conclusion of 2026 Annual Meeting (May 28, 2026). Board reduced from 11 to 9. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    Raejeanne Skillern appointed to Board effective March 24, 2026, as an independent director for term expiring at the 2026 Annual Meeting. No disagreement or arrangement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $398.53Resistance $566.47

Price Targets

$439
$554
A.Upside+17.5%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $471.72, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $438.70. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $554.43 (+17.5% upside). Prior stop was $438.70. Stop-loss: $438.70.

What are the risks of investing in DY?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is DY overvalued or undervalued?

Dycom Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 45.1 (forward 23.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DY?

20 analysts cover DY with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $637.

What does Dycom Industries, Inc. do?Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services — including fiber placement, wireless construction, and...

Dycom Industries provides specialty contracting services — including fiber placement, wireless construction, and underground facility locating — for telecommunications providers and utilities across all 50 U.S. states, operating through 38 subsidiaries with approximately 19,556 employees. Revenue is generated under master service agreements and project-specific contracts, with AT&T (25.4%), Verizon (14.0%), and Lumen Technologies (10.8%) together accounting for more than half of fiscal 2026 contract revenues. The company added a Building Systems segment in fiscal 2026 via the Power Solutions a

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