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DSGXThe Descartes Systems Group IncBuy Wait6.2·$72.80+2.61%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Descartes is a high-quality software business with excellent cash conversion and pristine balance-sheet strength, but four consecutive earnings misses and a confirmed price downtrend mean the fundamental case has not yet translated into a recoverable technical setup — patience is warranted until price stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Analyst Upside Valuation GapStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $71.60. BUY gates pass at $72.80, but consecutive earnings misses (4) and below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $71.60 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. Its Logistics Technology platform offers a range of modular, interoperable web and wireless logistics management... Read more

$72.80+22.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#26 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.30%
Entry $71.60(50-day MA)Stop $66.59Target $87.54(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$100.62+38.2%13 analysts
$87.54our TP
$72.80price
$100.62mean
$126

Wait for pullback to $71.60. BUY gates pass at $72.80, but consecutive earnings misses (4) and below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $71.60 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.32, quality 8.2/10, growth 7.5/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 9/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 2, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 20%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.2
P/E (Fwd)22.4
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA18.4
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth14.7%
Beta0.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.81Resistance $81.09

Price Targets

$67
$72
$88
A.Upside+20.2%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-02 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DSGX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $71.60. BUY gates pass at $72.80, but consecutive earnings misses (4) and below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $71.60 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.32, quality 8.2/10, growth 7.5/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $87.54 (+20.2%), stop $66.59 (−9.3%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DSGX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.54 (+22.3% upside). Target $87.54 (+20.2%), stop $66.59 (−9.3%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $66.59.

What are the risks of investing in DSGX?

Consecutive earnings misses (4); Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is DSGX overvalued or undervalued?

The Descartes Systems Group Inc trades at a P/E of 36.2 (forward 22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DSGX?

9 analysts cover DSGX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $101.

What does The Descartes Systems Group Inc do?The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the...

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. Its Logistics Technology platform offers a range of modular, interoperable web and wireless logistics management solutions. The company offers a suite of solutions that include routing, mobile, and telematics; transportation management; ecommerce, shipping, and fulfillment; customs and regulatory compliance; global trade intelligence; broker and forwarder enterprise systems; and B2B messaging and connectivity services. It also provides its customers to use its modular and technology solutions to route, track, and measure delivery resources; plan, allocate, and execute shipments; rate, audit, and pay transportation invoices; access and analyze global trade data; research and perform trade tariff and duty calculations; file customs and security documents for imports and exports; and various other logistics processes. In addition, the company offers consulting, implementation, and training services, as well as maintenance and support services. It serves transportation providers, such as air, ocean, and truck modes; logistics service providers, including third-party logistics providers, freight forwarders, and customs brokers; and distribution-intensive companies, such as retailers, manufacturers, distributors, and mobile business service providers through subscription, transactional or perpetual license basis. The Descartes Systems Group Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.

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