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DSGXThe Descartes Systems Group IncHold6.1·$78.61
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Descartes is a high-quality software business with excellent cash conversion and pristine balance-sheet strength, but four consecutive earnings misses and a confirmed price downtrend mean the fundamental case has not yet translated into a recoverable technical setup — patience is warranted until price stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Analyst Upside Valuation Gap→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss Streak↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. Its Logistics Technology platform offers a range of modular, interoperable web and wireless logistics management... Read more

$78.61+12.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#29 of 118 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.40%
Stop $73.11Target $88.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$101.23+28.8%13 analysts
$88.07our TP
$78.61price
$101.23mean
$126

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 2, 202668d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.3
P/E (Fwd)24.3
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA19.5
Profit Mgn24.3%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth11.8%
Beta0.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV48%normal
Max Pain$55-30.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.55Resistance $82.65

Price Targets

$73
$88
A.Upside+12.0%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-02 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DSGX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $88.07 (+12.0%), stop $73.11 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DSGX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.07 (+12.0% upside). Target $88.07 (+12.0%), stop $73.11 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $73.11.

What are the risks of investing in DSGX?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is DSGX overvalued or undervalued?

The Descartes Systems Group Inc trades at a P/E of 37.3 (forward 24.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DSGX?

10 analysts cover DSGX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $101.

What does The Descartes Systems Group Inc do?The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the...

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. Its Logistics Technology platform offers a range of modular, interoperable web and wireless logistics management solutions. The company offers a suite of solutions that include routing, mobile, and telematics; transportation management; ecommerce, shipping, and fulfillment; customs and regulatory compliance; global trade intelligence; broker and forwarder enterprise systems; and B2B messaging and connectivity services. It also provides its customers to use its modular and technology solutions to route, track, and measure delivery resources; plan, allocate, and execute shipments; rate, audit, and pay transportation invoices; access and analyze global trade data; research and perform trade tariff and duty calculations; file customs and security documents for imports and exports; and various other logistics processes. In addition, the company offers consulting, implementation, and training services, as well as maintenance and support services. It serves transportation providers, such as air, ocean, and truck modes; logistics service providers, including third-party logistics providers, freight forwarders, and customs brokers; and distribution-intensive companies, such as retailers, manufacturers, distributors, and mobile business service providers through subscription, transactional or perpetual license basis. Further, the company develops Tai TMS, a transportation management software for freight brokers to manage quoting, booking, and shipment tracking. The Descartes Systems Group Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.

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