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DSGXThe Descartes Systems Group IncSell5.9·$81.60+1.05%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Descartes is a high-quality software business with excellent cash conversion and pristine balance-sheet strength, but four consecutive earnings misses and a confirmed price downtrend mean the fundamental case has not yet translated into a recoverable technical setup — patience is warranted until price stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Analyst Upside Valuation GapStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 5 days (2026-09-10). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $81.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. Its Logistics Technology platform offers a range of modular, interoperable web and wireless logistics management... Read more

$81.60+10.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#53 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.97%
Stop $73.88Target $87.20(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$100.23+22.8%13 analysts
$87.20our TP
$81.60price
$100.23mean
$126

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $81.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 10, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.3
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA20.1
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth14.7%
Beta0.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 5 days
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $73.74Resistance $82.65

Price Targets

$74
$87
A.Upside+10.5%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Red flag in news: 'bankruptcy'
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-10 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DSGX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $81.60 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $73.88. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DSGX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.20 (+10.5% upside). Prior stop was $73.88. Stop-loss: $73.88.

What are the risks of investing in DSGX?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is DSGX overvalued or undervalued?

The Descartes Systems Group Inc trades at a P/E of 39.3 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DSGX?

10 analysts cover DSGX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $100.

What does The Descartes Systems Group Inc do?The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the...

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. Its Logistics Technology platform offers a range of modular, interoperable web and wireless logistics management solutions. The company offers a suite of solutions that include routing, mobile, and telematics; transportation management; ecommerce, shipping, and fulfillment; customs and regulatory compliance; global trade intelligence; broker and forwarder enterprise systems; and B2B messaging and connectivity services. It also provides its customers to use its modular and technology solutions to route, track, and measure delivery resources; plan, allocate, and execute shipments; rate, audit, and pay transportation invoices; access and analyze global trade data; research and perform trade tariff and duty calculations; file customs and security documents for imports and exports; and various other logistics processes. In addition, the company offers consulting, implementation, and training services, as well as maintenance and support services. It serves transportation providers, such as air, ocean, and truck modes; logistics service providers, including third-party logistics providers, freight forwarders, and customs brokers; and distribution-intensive companies, such as retailers, manufacturers, distributors, and mobile business service providers through subscription, transactional or perpetual license basis. Further, the company develops Tai TMS, a transportation management software for freight brokers to manage quoting, booking, and shipment tracking. The Descartes Systems Group Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.

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