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DSGXThe Descartes Systems Group IncBuy Wait6.3·$85.34
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Descartes is a high-quality software business with excellent cash conversion and pristine balance-sheet strength, but four consecutive earnings misses and a confirmed price downtrend mean the fundamental case has not yet translated into a recoverable technical setup — patience is warranted until price stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Analyst Upside Valuation Gap→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss Streak↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Descartes Systems Group Inc (DSGX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $81.41. At $85.34 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. Its Logistics Technology platform offers a range of modular, interoperable web and wireless logistics management... Read more

$85.34+4.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#25 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.13%
Entry $81.41(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $76.45Target $89.28(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$102.62+20.2%13 analysts
$89.28our TP
$85.34price
$102.62mean
$126

Wait for pullback to $81.41. At $85.34 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 2, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.6%
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.5
P/E (Fwd)25.1
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA20.9
Profit Mgn24.3%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth11.8%
Beta0.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$55-35.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
5.9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.1
Ps
3.8
Peg Ratio
4.9
Forward Pe
5.0
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 25.1xPEG: 1.56
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.57Resistance $85.83

Price Targets

$76
$81
$89
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-02 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DSGX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $81.41. At $85.34 the A.R:R is 0.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.41 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $89.28 (+4.6%), stop $76.45 (−11.6%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DSGX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.28 (+4.6% upside). Target $89.28 (+4.6%), stop $76.45 (−11.6%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $76.45.

What are the risks of investing in DSGX?

Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Expensive valuation.

Is DSGX overvalued or undervalued?

The Descartes Systems Group Inc trades at a P/E of 39.5 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about DSGX?

10 analysts cover DSGX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $103.

What does The Descartes Systems Group Inc do?The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the...

The Descartes Systems Group Inc. provides global logistics technology solutions in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. Its Logistics Technology platform offers a range of modular, interoperable web and wireless logistics management solutions. The company offers a suite of solutions that include routing, mobile, and telematics; transportation management; ecommerce, shipping, and fulfillment; customs and regulatory compliance; global trade intelligence; broker and forwarder enterprise systems; and B2B messaging and connectivity services. It also provides its customers to use its modular and technology solutions to route, track, and measure delivery resources; plan, allocate, and execute shipments; rate, audit, and pay transportation invoices; access and analyze global trade data; research and perform trade tariff and duty calculations; file customs and security documents for imports and exports; and various other logistics processes. In addition, the company offers consulting, implementation, and training services, as well as maintenance and support services. It serves transportation providers, such as air, ocean, and truck modes; logistics service providers, including third-party logistics providers, freight forwarders, and customs brokers; and distribution-intensive companies, such as retailers, manufacturers, distributors, and mobile business service providers through subscription, transactional or perpetual license basis. Further, the company develops Tai TMS, a transportation management software for freight brokers to manage quoting, booking, and shipment tracking. The Descartes Systems Group Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.

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