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DOXAmdocs LimitedHold5.6·$51.95+2.16%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Amdocs combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with a forward earnings multiple of 6.9x — making it attractively valued — yet the stock has broken down technically with a confirmed death cross, price below all moving averages, and a put/call ratio of 2.00, suggesting the value case remains unrecognized until price momentum reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Attractive Value Amid SelloffStable
  • Technical Downtrend Death CrossStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amdocs Limited (DOX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and other service providers worldwide. It designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud offering. The company also provides... Read more

$51.95+32.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#65 of 109 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.67%
IncomeYield4.48%(5y avg 2.09%)Payout42.91%sustainable
Stop $48.76Target $69.03(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$81.21+56.3%4 analysts
$69.03our TP
$51.95price
$81.21mean
$105

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.2
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE15.9%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta0.43
Dividend4.48%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.4
Bollinger
3.9
Support Resistance
3.9
Gap
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $49.45Resistance $53.82

Price Targets

$49
$69
A.Upside+32.5%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $69.03 (+32.9%), stop $48.76 (−6.5%), A.R:R 5.1:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.03 (+32.5% upside). Target $69.03 (+32.9%), stop $48.76 (−6.5%), A.R:R 5.1:1. Stop-loss: $48.76.

What are the risks of investing in DOX?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is DOX overvalued or undervalued?

Amdocs Limited trades at a P/E of 10.2 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DOX?

12 analysts cover DOX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Amdocs Limited do?Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and...

Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and other service providers worldwide. It designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud offering. The company also provides CES25, a telco-native, GenAI-led customer experience suite, spanning business, and operations and network domains that is embedded with AI and related tools. In addition, it offers GenAI agents, and which include Customer Engagement Platform, a telecom-specific customer relationship management (CRM) solution; Amdocs Monetization Suite which enables customers to monetize their broad set of services and offerings; Amdocs Intelligent Networking Suite, a set of solutions that provide end-to-end service orchestration; Amdocs Charging; Amdocs eSIM Cloud that enables service providers to offer digital SIM (eSIM); Amdocs MarketONE, a based Software-as-a-Service (SaaS)-based platform that includes pre-integrated digital services, ranging from media, gaming, eLearning, sports and retail to security, and business services; and Amdocs connectX, a cloud-native telco-in-a-box software-as-a-service platform for digital telecom brands, as well as Amdocs CatalogONE that spans the entire CES25 suite and combines embedded business intelligence with telecom-specific GenAI agents. Further, the company provides consulting, experience design, data, cloud, network services, delivery, quality engineering, operations, systems integration, and content services to various platforms and technologies; maintenance, enhancement design and development, and operational support services; network deployment and optimization services; and managed services, including AI and related tools, predictive analytics, and robotic process automation, as well as quality engineering, mobile network, cloud, and professional services. Amdocs Limited was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

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