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DOXAmdocs LimitedSell5.4·$58.65-0.02%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Amdocs combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with a forward earnings multiple of 6.9x — making it attractively valued — yet the stock has broken down technically with a confirmed death cross, price below all moving averages, and a put/call ratio of 2.00, suggesting the value case remains unrecognized until price momentum reverses.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Attractive Value Amid SelloffDeteriorating
  • Technical Downtrend Death CrossDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amdocs Limited (DOX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $58.65, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth.

Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and other service providers worldwide. It designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud offering. The company also provides... Read more

$58.65+18.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#76 of 103 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield11.26%
IncomeYield3.97%(5y avg 2.09%)Payout52.07%sustainable
Stop $54.14Target $69.03(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$81.21+38.5%4 analysts
$69.03our TP
$58.65price
$81.21mean
$105

Sell if holding. At $58.65, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE13.3%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.42
Dividend3.97%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.8
Bollinger
2.5
52w Position
3.3
Gap
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $49.74Resistance $60.03

Price Targets

$54
$69
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $58.65, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $54.14. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.03 (+18.6% upside). Prior stop was $54.14. Stop-loss: $54.14.

What are the risks of investing in DOX?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is DOX overvalued or undervalued?

Amdocs Limited trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOX?

11 analysts cover DOX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Amdocs Limited do?Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and...

Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and other service providers worldwide. It designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud offering. The company also provides CES25, a telco-native, GenAI-led customer experience suite, spanning business, and operations and network domains that is embedded with AI and related tools. In addition, it offers GenAI agents, and which include Customer Engagement Platform, a telecom-specific customer relationship management (CRM) solution; Amdocs Monetization Suite which enables customers to monetize their broad set of services and offerings; Amdocs Intelligent Networking Suite, a set of solutions that provide end-to-end service orchestration; Amdocs Charging; Amdocs eSIM Cloud that enables service providers to offer digital SIM (eSIM); Amdocs MarketONE, a based Software-as-a-Service (SaaS)-based platform that includes pre-integrated digital services, ranging from media, gaming, eLearning, sports and retail to security, and business services; and Amdocs connectX, a cloud-native telco-in-a-box software-as-a-service platform for digital telecom brands, as well as Amdocs CatalogONE that spans the entire CES25 suite and combines embedded business intelligence with telecom-specific GenAI agents. Further, the company provides consulting, experience design, data, cloud, network services, delivery, quality engineering, operations, systems integration, and content services to various platforms and technologies; maintenance, enhancement design and development, and operational support services; network deployment and optimization services; and managed services, including AI and related tools, predictive analytics, and robotic process automation, as well as quality engineering, mobile network, cloud, and professional services. Amdocs Limited was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

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