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Amdocs Limited (DOX) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $63.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth.

Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and other service providers worldwide. It designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud offering. The company also provides... Read more

$63.52+20.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#52 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $60.87Target $76.68(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.2:1
Analyst target$90.21+42.0%4 analysts
$76.68our TP
$63.52price
$90.21mean
$105

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $63.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.4
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA7.4
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE16.5%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.47
Dividend3.56%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$55-13.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Earnings Growth
3.8
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $62.75Resistance $68.07

Price Targets

$61
$77
A.Upside+20.7%
A.R:R4.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-13 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $63.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $60.87. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.68 (+20.9% upside). Prior stop was $60.87. Stop-loss: $60.87.

What are the risks of investing in DOX?

Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is DOX overvalued or undervalued?

Amdocs Limited trades at a P/E of 12.4 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOX?

12 analysts cover DOX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Amdocs Limited do?Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and...

Amdocs Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides software and services to communications, entertainment, media, and other service providers worldwide. It designs, develops, operates, implements, supports, and markets open and modular cloud offering. The company also provides CES25, a telco-native, GenAI-led customer experience suite, spanning business, and operations and network domains that is embedded with AI and related tools. In addition, it offers GenAI agents, and which include Customer Engagement Platform, a telecom-specific customer relationship management (CRM) solution; Amdocs Monetization Suite which enables customers to monetize their broad set of services and offerings; Amdocs Intelligent Networking Suite, a set of solutions that provide end-to-end service orchestration; Amdocs Charging; Amdocs eSIM Cloud that enables service providers to offer digital SIM (eSIM); Amdocs MarketONE, a based Software-as-a-Service (SaaS)-based platform that includes pre-integrated digital services, ranging from media, gaming, eLearning, sports and retail to security, and business services; and Amdocs connectX, a cloud-native telco-in-a-box software-as-a-service platform for digital telecom brands, as well as Amdocs CatalogONE that spans the entire CES25 suite and combines embedded business intelligence with telecom-specific GenAI agents. Further, the company provides consulting, experience design, data, cloud, network services, delivery, quality engineering, operations, systems integration, and content services to various platforms and technologies; maintenance, enhancement design and development, and operational support services; network deployment and optimization services; and managed services, including AI and related tools, predictive analytics, and robotic process automation, as well as quality engineering, mobile network, cloud, and professional services. Amdocs Limited was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

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