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DOCUDocuSign, Inc.Hold5.6·$50.39+7.12%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

DocuSign has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging nearly 9% above consensus and trades at a forward earnings multiple of under 9 times with a PEG ratio of 0.52, but a confirmed death cross with price below all major moving averages and an elevated put/call ratio signal a meaningful technical headwind that must resolve before the fundamental quality story can drive a re-rating.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation And Wide MoatStable
  • Product Concentration Single SegmentDeteriorating
  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: eSignature; Thin upside margin: 5.9%.

DocuSign sells e-signature, contract lifecycle management, and its Intelligent Agreement Management platform to over 1.8 million customers globally across enterprises, SMBs, and government entities. Subscription fees account for 98% of revenue, with international sales... Read more

$50.39+5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#87 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.98%
Stop $46.91Target $53.39(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$59.33+17.7%18 analysts
$53.39our TP
$50.39price
$59.33mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: eSignature; Thin upside margin: 5.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About DocuSign, Inc.

About DocuSign, Inc.

DocuSign's agreement-management platform counted over 1.8 million customers and more than a billion users globally as of January 31, 2026, with subscriptions accounting for 98% of total revenue. International markets contributed 29% of total revenue in fiscal 2026, up from 26% in fiscal 2024, and the IAM platform — launched in April 2024 — represented 10.8% of annual recurring revenue, with more than 25,000 customers enrolled.

DocuSign's revenue is almost entirely time-based subscriptions, typically one-to-three years in length, with substantially all multi-year customers paying annually in advance. The eSignature product accounts for the substantial majority of subscription revenue and is expected to remain the dominant revenue source for the foreseeable future. The newer IAM platform bundles eSignature with Navigator (an AI-powered contract repository), Maestro (a no-code workflow builder), and Agreement Desk, sold at multiple pricing tiers. Go-to-market runs through three channels: a direct sales force targeting enterprise and commercial accounts, partner programs with deep integrations at Microsoft, SAP, Salesforce, Google, ServiceNow, and Workday, and a digital self-service channel that grew faster than overall revenue in fiscal 2026. The company faces competition from Adobe Acrobat Sign in core e-signature and, increasingly, from large language model solutions and vibe-coded applications entering the contract analytics space.

Show full overview

DocuSign's platform intersects multiple regulatory regimes simultaneously: the IAM platform achieved FedRAMP Moderate authorization in fiscal 2026, enabling federal agency sales, while Docusign France operates as a qualified Trust Service Provider listed on the French ANSSI register, supporting EU eIDAS advanced and qualified signatures. U.S. data-handling is subject to oversight by the FTC, the HHS Office for Civil Rights (for health information), and state attorneys general. Any compliance lapse with FedRAMP, eIDAS, or FDA 21 CFR Part 11 requirements could trigger loss of certification and customer attrition in regulated verticals.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From DocuSign, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: eSignature
Thin upside margin: 5.9%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.6
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$9.6B
EV/EBITDA23.2
Profit Mgn9.6%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProducteSignature
    10-K Item 1A: 'we will be substantially dependent on our eSignature product to generate revenue for the foreseeable future'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-06Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Rowan Trollope (CEO of Redis, Inc.) as independent Class III director effective May 2, 2026, filling an existing vacancy. No officer departure. No reason for vacancy cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Macd
3.6
Rsi
4.0
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.6
Bollinger
3.2
Support Resistance
3.5
Gap
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.90Resistance $54.50

Price Targets

$47
$53
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOCU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $50.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: eSignature; Thin upside margin: 5.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $53.39 (+6.0%), stop $46.91 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOCU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.39 (+5.9% upside). Target $53.39 (+6.0%), stop $46.91 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $46.91.

What are the risks of investing in DOCU?

Concentration risk — Product: eSignature; Thin upside margin: 5.9%; Negative momentum.

Is DOCU overvalued or undervalued?

DocuSign, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.6 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DOCU?

29 analysts cover DOCU with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $59.

What does DocuSign, Inc. do?DocuSign sells e-signature, contract lifecycle management, and its Intelligent Agreement Management platform to over...

DocuSign sells e-signature, contract lifecycle management, and its Intelligent Agreement Management platform to over 1.8 million customers globally across enterprises, SMBs, and government entities. Subscription fees account for 98% of revenue, with international sales representing 29% of total revenue in fiscal 2026.

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