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DKSDick's Sporting Goods IncHold5.6·$218.57-1.10%
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Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $218.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of... Read more

$218.57+2.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-2.72%
IncomeYield2.26%(5y avg 2.00%)Payout47.59%sustainable
Stop $203.55Target $224.59(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$249.55+14.2%22 analysts
$224.59our TP
$218.57price
$249.55mean
$169
$300

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $218.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202671d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$19.8B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth62.7%
Beta1.22
Dividend2.26%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$90-58.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierNike
    10-K Item 1: 'Nike, our largest vendor, representing approximately 31% of our consolidated merchandise purchases'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $205.59Resistance $236.42

Price Targets

$204
$225
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DKS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $218.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $224.59 (+2.8%), stop $203.55 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $224.59 (+2.6% upside). Target $224.59 (+2.8%), stop $203.55 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $203.55.

What are the risks of investing in DKS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Negative momentum.

Is DKS overvalued or undervalued?

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DKS?

30 analysts cover DKS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $250.

What does Dick's Sporting Goods Inc do?Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker...

Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of consolidated merchandise purchases; no other vendor exceeded 10%. The ScoreCard loyalty program's 30 million members account for over 75% of DICK'S Business sales.

Related stocks: MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited) · FIVE (Five Below, Inc.) · BBWI (Bath & Body Works, Inc.) · MUSA (Murphy USA Inc.) · ULTA (Ulta Beauty, Inc.)
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