Three consecutive earnings beats were followed by a miss in the most recent quarter, and while the business is the industry growth leader with 63% revenue growth year-over-year, free cash flow is negative, the stock is just below the analyst consensus target with only about 2% upside remaining, and the risk/reward ratio of 0.3-to-1 tilts firmly unfavorable — a setup that favors patience over new exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Thin Upside Unfavorable Risk Reward→Stable
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Earnings Streak Interrupted↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $201.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-day MA.
Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $201.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, news boost analyst cluster(8), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Dick's Sporting Goods Inc
Latest news
- NEWS DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) Stock Looks Fairly Valued With Strong Returns But Weak Broader Checks - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Did Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders? - TradingView — TradingView negative
- NEWS DKS|DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc|Price:211.400|Chg%:+5.800 - TradingKey — TradingKey positive
- NEWS DICK'S Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS) Stock Price Expected to Rise, Jefferies Financial Group Analyst Says - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Why Is Dick's Sporting Goods Stock Falling Wednesday? - Dick's Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS) - Benzinga — Benzinga negative
Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierNike10-K Item 1: 'Nike, our largest vendor, representing approximately 31% of our consolidated merchandise purchases'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $201.97 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $189.32. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $225.94 (+11.9% upside). Prior stop was $189.32. Stop-loss: $189.32.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Below 200-day MA.
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover DKS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $251.
What does Dick's Sporting Goods Inc do?Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker...
Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of consolidated merchandise purchases; no other vendor exceeded 10%. The ScoreCard loyalty program's 30 million members account for over 75% of DICK'S Business sales.