Three consecutive earnings beats were followed by a miss in the most recent quarter, and while the business is the industry growth leader with 63% revenue growth year-over-year, free cash flow is negative, the stock is just below the analyst consensus target with only about 2% upside remaining, and the risk/reward ratio of 0.3-to-1 tilts firmly unfavorable — a setup that favors patience over new exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Thin Upside Unfavorable Risk Reward↑Improving
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Earnings Streak Interrupted→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. At $206.04, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.
Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of... Read more
Sell if holding. At $206.04, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Dick's Sporting Goods Inc
Latest news
- NEWS DICK'S Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS) Stock Price Expected to Rise, Jefferies Financial Group Analyst Says - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Why Is Dick's Sporting Goods Stock Falling Wednesday? - Dick's Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS) - Benzinga — Benzinga negative
- NEWS DICK'S Sporting Goods: Mixed Q1 Given Foot Locker Dilution (NYSE:DKS) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
- NEWS Dick's Sporting Goods Posts Higher Sales. Why the Stock Is Sliding After Earnings. - Moomoo — Moomoo negative
- NEWS Foot Locker returns to growth but weighs on Dick's Sporting Goods as earnings miss - CNBC — CNBC negative
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierNike10-K Item 1: 'Nike, our largest vendor, representing approximately 31% of our consolidated merchandise purchases'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $206.04, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $196.65. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $225.12 (+9.3% upside). Prior stop was $196.65. Stop-loss: $196.65.
Thin upside margin: 9.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Negative momentum.
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc trades at a P/E of 19.9 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover DKS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $250.
What does Dick's Sporting Goods Inc do?Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker...
Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of consolidated merchandise purchases; no other vendor exceeded 10%. The ScoreCard loyalty program's 30 million members account for over 75% of DICK'S Business sales.