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DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.Sell6.4·$85.08+3.79%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The airline trades at a forward multiple of 10.4 times with a PEG below 1 and broadly constructive technical indicators, but the stock sits just 1.9% below its near-term resistance target with a risk/reward of 0.27-to-1 — a geometry that does not support initiating or adding to a position at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality At Minimum ThresholdStable
  • Earnings Beat PatternStable
  • Attractive Earnings MultipleStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.08: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.47; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more than 300 destinations across six continents, with core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City. Revenue spans passenger tickets, the... Read more

$85.08+11.6% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#3 of 16 Airlines
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.04%
IncomeYield0.95%(5y avg 2.30%)Payout12.44%sustainable
Stop $79.80Target $94.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$105.52+24.0%24 analysts
$94.97our TP
$85.08price
$105.52mean
$50
$125

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.08: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.47; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 8, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$55.9B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn5.8%
ROE20.1%
Rev Growth18.7%
Beta1.29
Dividend0.95%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.47bearish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAmerican Express
    10-K Item 1: 'Our most significant and valuable contract to sell miles ... remuneration from American Express totaled $8.2 billion'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
8.1
Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.7
Roa
2.7
Net Margin
2.9
Operating Margin
3.2
Fcf Quality
5.4
Moat
6.0
Roe
6.7
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality warning: 71% FCF/NI
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.64Resistance $95.44

Price Targets

$80
$95
A.Upside+11.6%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-08 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DAL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.08: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.47; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $79.80. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DAL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $94.97 (+11.6% upside). Prior stop was $79.80. Stop-loss: $79.80.

What are the risks of investing in DAL?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is DAL overvalued or undervalued?

Delta Air Lines, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DAL?

32 analysts cover DAL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Delta Air Lines, Inc. do?Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more...

Delta Air Lines served over 200 million customers in 2025 with 1,314 aircraft and up to 5,500 peak-day flights to more than 300 destinations across six continents, with core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City. Revenue spans passenger tickets, the SkyMiles loyalty program, and American Express co-brand remuneration ($8.2 billion in 2025), plus MRO services through Delta TechOps.

Related stocks: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) · UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.) · RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc)
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