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DDominion Energy, Inc.Hold5.3·$68.42+0.76%
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Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia (80.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: state-regulated utility operations (95.0%).

Dominion Energy serves approximately 4.1 million electric customers in Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina with 30.7 GW of generating capacity. About 95% of earnings come from state-regulated utility operations with rates set by state commissions and FERC. A $65 billion... Read more

$68.42-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-16.66%
IncomeYield3.93%(5y avg 4.45%)Payout78.76%
Stop $65.69Target $67.15(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$69.25+1.2%12 analysts
$67.15our TP
$68.42price
$69.25mean
$64
$76

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia (80.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: state-regulated utility operations (95.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia (80.0%)
Concentration risk — Regulatory: state-regulated utility operations (95.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$59.7B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn16.9%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta0.64
Dividend3.93%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV32%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicVirginia80%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 80% of revenue comes from serving Virginia jurisdictional customers'
  • MEDIUMCustomerdata centers28%
    10-K Item 1: 'Data centers represent 28% and 26% of Virginia Power's electricity sales for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively'
  • HIGHregulatorystate-regulated utility operations95%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 95% of earnings to come from state-regulated utility operations in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.55Resistance $68.52

Price Targets

$66
$67
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is D stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia (80.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: state-regulated utility operations (95.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $67.15 (-1.9%), stop $65.69 (−4.2%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the D stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.15 (-1.8% upside). Target $67.15 (-1.9%), stop $65.69 (−4.2%), A.R:R -2.1:1. Stop-loss: $65.69.

What are the risks of investing in D?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia (80.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: state-regulated utility operations (95.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is D overvalued or undervalued?

Dominion Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about D?

23 analysts cover D with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Dominion Energy, Inc. do?Dominion Energy serves approximately 4.1 million electric customers in Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina...

Dominion Energy serves approximately 4.1 million electric customers in Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina with 30.7 GW of generating capacity. About 95% of earnings come from state-regulated utility operations with rates set by state commissions and FERC. A $65 billion capital plan for 2026–2030 targets offshore wind, solar, and grid transformation to meet data center-driven demand.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin)
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