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Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%).

Dominion Energy is a regulated electric utility serving approximately 4.1 million customers in Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina, with ~30.7 GW of generation capacity. About 95% of earnings come from state-regulated utility operations; Virginia Power accounts for 80%... Read more

$67.810.0% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#11 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-16.74%
IncomeYield3.95%(5y avg 4.45%)Payout78.76%
Stop $64.32Target $67.59(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$66.93-1.3%15 analysts
$67.59our TP
$67.81price
$66.93mean
$59
$72

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Dominion Energy, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.9
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$59.4B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn16.9%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta0.64
Dividend3.95%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV36%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicVirginia jurisdictional customers80%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 80% of revenue comes from serving Virginia jurisdictional customers'
  • MEDIUMCustomerdata centers28%
    10-K Item 1: 'Data centers represent 28% and 26% of Virginia Power's electricity sales for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.7
Gap
3.0
52w Position
9.6
Extreme gap up (11.2%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 9.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.44Resistance $68.97

Price Targets

$64
$68
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is D stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.81 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $64.32. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the D stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.59 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $64.32. Stop-loss: $64.32.

What are the risks of investing in D?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Virginia jurisdictional customers (80.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.0% away).

Is D overvalued or undervalued?

Dominion Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.9 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about D?

28 analysts cover D with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Dominion Energy, Inc. do?Dominion Energy is a regulated electric utility serving approximately 4.1 million customers in Virginia, North...

Dominion Energy is a regulated electric utility serving approximately 4.1 million customers in Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina, with ~30.7 GW of generation capacity. About 95% of earnings come from state-regulated utility operations; Virginia Power accounts for 80% of Dominion Energy Virginia's revenue from Virginia jurisdictional customers. Data centers represented 28% of Virginia Power's electricity sales in 2025.

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