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Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Dominion Energy, headquartered in Richmond, Virginia and incorporated in Virginia in 1983, provides service to approximately 4.1 million primarily electric utility customers in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina. At December 31, 2025, Dominion Energy's portfolio of... Read more

$63.79+5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#5 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Entry $60.66(5% below current)Stop $58.63Target $63.83(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$66.06+3.6%17 analysts
$63.83our TP
$63.79price
$66.06mean
$59
$69

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $63.85 has reached target $63.83. No upside to wait for. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val5.6Qual5.0Grw7.6Mom4.8Sent5.2Ins5.0Peer6.5Tech4.6Risk7.25.8OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.7), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.0
P/E (Fwd)16.4
Mkt Cap$54.9B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn18.2%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth20.4%
Beta0.66
Dividend4.27%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV37%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    2026 Annual Incentive Plan On January 30, 2026, the Dominion Energy, Inc. ("Dominion Energy") Compensation and Talent Development Committee ("CTD Committee") approved the 2026 Annual Incentive Plan (the "AIP").
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.44Resistance $65.13

Price Targets

$59
$61
$64
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-1.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is D stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $63.79, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $63.85 has reached target $63.83. No upside to wait for. Target $63.83 (+0.1%), stop $58.63 (−8.8%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the D stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.83 (+5.2% upside). Target $63.83 (+0.1%), stop $58.63 (−8.8%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $58.63.

What are the risks of investing in D?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.7), Negative free cash flow.

Is D overvalued or undervalued?

Dominion Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.0 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about D?

27 analysts cover D with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Dominion Energy, Inc. do?Dominion Energy, headquartered in Richmond, Virginia and incorporated in Virginia in 1983, provides service to...

Dominion Energy, headquartered in Richmond, Virginia and incorporated in Virginia in 1983, provides service to approximately 4.1 million primarily electric utility customers in Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina. At December 31, 2025, Dominion Energy's portfolio of assets includes approximately 30.7 GW of electric generating capacity, 10,800 miles of electric transmission lines and 80,400 miles of electric distribution lines.

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