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CTASCintas CorporationHold5.8·$205.91+1.31%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cintas is among the highest-quality businesses in the industrial sector — Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, return on equity of 41%, 18% net margins, and a wide economic moat — with three straight earnings beats followed by an in-line quarter at the most recent print, and the reward-to-risk ratio of 1.68 with 9.4% upside to the take-profit target clears the minimum asymmetry bar; however, a confirmed technical downtrend and a forward multiple of 32.2x require patience before the setup fully resolves.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable FranchiseStable
  • Favorable Risk Reward SetupStable
  • Premium Valuation Limits CushionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by... Read more

$205.91-6.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.78%
IncomeYield0.89%(5y avg 0.90%)Payout36.66%sustainable
Stop $194.37Target $205.53(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$214.50+4.2%16 analysts
$205.53our TP
$205.91price
$214.50mean
$160
$250

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 23, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation
Overbought (RSI 79)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.3
P/E (Fwd)33.8
Mkt Cap$82.4B
EV/EBITDA27.1
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE40.7%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.93
Dividend0.89%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.9
Forward Pe
3.2
Peg Ratio
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.3
Forward P/E: 33.8xPEG: 3.22

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
8.3
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $167.82Resistance $209.72

Price Targets

$194
$206
A.Upside-6.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-23 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTAS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 79. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $205.53 (-0.2%), stop $194.37 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $205.53 (-6.2% upside). Target $205.53 (-0.2%), stop $194.37 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $194.37.

What are the risks of investing in CTAS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation; Overbought (RSI 79).

Is CTAS overvalued or undervalued?

Cintas Corporation trades at a P/E of 41.3 (forward 33.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CTAS?

27 analysts cover CTAS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $215.

What does Cintas Corporation do?Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses...

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by providing a wide range of products and services that enhance our customers' image and help keep their facilities and employees clean, safe and looking their best.

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