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CTASCintas CorporationSell5.3·$201.60+1.77%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cintas is among the highest-quality businesses in the industrial sector — Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, return on equity of 41%, 18% net margins, and a wide economic moat — with three straight earnings beats followed by an in-line quarter at the most recent print, and the reward-to-risk ratio of 1.68 with 9.4% upside to the take-profit target clears the minimum asymmetry bar; however, a confirmed technical downtrend and a forward multiple of 32.2x require patience before the setup fully resolves.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable FranchiseStable
  • Favorable Risk Reward SetupStable
  • Premium Valuation Limits CushionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $201.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by... Read more

$201.60-3.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#18 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.82%
IncomeYield1.05%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout36.66%sustainable
Stop $194.37Target $231.21(default +15%)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$216.31+7.3%16 analysts
$231.21our TP
$201.60price
$216.31mean
$175
$250

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $201.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 23, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.3
P/E (Fwd)32.9
Mkt Cap$80.5B
EV/EBITDA27.7
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE40.7%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.92
Dividend1.05%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.70bearish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$170-15.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** On July 28, 2026, in connection with Cintas Corporation's ("Cintas" or the "Company") decision to separate the roles of President and Chief Execut...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.0
Forward Pe
3.4
Peg Ratio
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.4
Forward P/E: 32.9xPEG: 3.18
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $196.50Resistance $207.51

Price Targets

$194
$231
A.Upside-3.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-23 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $201.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $194.37. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $231.21 (-3.2% upside). Prior stop was $194.37. Stop-loss: $194.37.

What are the risks of investing in CTAS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation.

Is CTAS overvalued or undervalued?

Cintas Corporation trades at a P/E of 40.3 (forward 32.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTAS?

27 analysts cover CTAS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $216.

What does Cintas Corporation do?Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses...

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by providing a wide range of products and services that enhance our customers' image and help keep their facilities and employees clean, safe and looking their best.

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