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CTASCintas CorporationHold5.7·$199.91
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cintas is among the highest-quality businesses in the industrial sector — Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, return on equity of 41%, 18% net margins, and a wide economic moat — with three straight earnings beats followed by an in-line quarter at the most recent print, and the reward-to-risk ratio of 1.68 with 9.4% upside to the take-profit target clears the minimum asymmetry bar; however, a confirmed technical downtrend and a forward multiple of 32.2x require patience before the setup fully resolves.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable Franchise→Stable
  • Favorable Risk Reward Setup→Stable
  • Premium Valuation Limits Cushion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $199.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by... Read more

$199.91-1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#12 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.06%
IncomeYield1.08%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout36.88%sustainable
Stop $191.71Target $229.90(default +15%)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$218.25+9.2%16 analysts
$229.90our TP
$199.91price
$218.25mean
$180
$250

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $199.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26

Recent Developments — Cintas Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Aug 27, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Date: August 27, 2026 | | By: | /s/ D. Brock Denton | | | D. Brock Denton | | | Executive Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel

Generated 2026-09-26T04:01:57Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 17, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Positive news sentiment (+0.70)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.9
P/E (Fwd)32.1
Mkt Cap$79.0B
EV/EBITDA26.2
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE41.4%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta0.91
Dividend1.08%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV34%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Date: August 27, 2026 | | By: | /s/ D. Brock Denton | | | D. Brock Denton | | | Executive Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** On July 28, 2026, in connection with Cintas Corporation's ("Cintas" or the "Company") decision to separate the roles of President and Chief Execut...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.3
Forward Pe
3.6
Peg Ratio
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.6
Forward P/E: 32.1xPEG: 3.14
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $191.09Resistance $205.81

Price Targets

$192
$230
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-17 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTAS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $199.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $229.90 (+15.0%), stop $191.71 (−4.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $229.90 (-1.7% upside). Target $229.90 (+15.0%), stop $191.71 (−4.3%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $191.71.

What are the risks of investing in CTAS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Expensive valuation.

Is CTAS overvalued or undervalued?

Cintas Corporation trades at a P/E of 37.9 (forward 32.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CTAS?

27 analysts cover CTAS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $218.

What does Cintas Corporation do?Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses...

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by providing a wide range of products and services that enhance our customers' image and help keep their facilities and employees clean, safe and looking their best.

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