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CTASCintas CorporationSell5.7·$208.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cintas is among the highest-quality businesses in the industrial sector — Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, return on equity of 41%, 18% net margins, and a wide economic moat — with three straight earnings beats followed by an in-line quarter at the most recent print, and the reward-to-risk ratio of 1.68 with 9.4% upside to the take-profit target clears the minimum asymmetry bar; however, a confirmed technical downtrend and a forward multiple of 32.2x require patience before the setup fully resolves.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable Franchise→Stable
  • Favorable Risk Reward Setup→Stable
  • Premium Valuation Limits Cushion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Stock Analysis

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $208.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by... Read more

$208.63-5.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#14 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.11%
IncomeYield1.01%(5y avg 0.85%)Payout36.88%sustainable
Stop $202.19Target $239.92(default +15%)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$218.31+4.6%16 analysts
$239.92our TP
$208.63price
$218.31mean
$181
$250

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $208.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 17, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.1
P/E (Fwd)33.9
Mkt Cap$82.8B
EV/EBITDA27.4
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE41.4%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta0.92
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV35%normal
Max Pain$150-28.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Date: August 27, 2026 | | By: | /s/ D. Brock Denton | | | D. Brock Denton | | | Executive Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-08-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** On July 28, 2026, in connection with Cintas Corporation's ("Cintas" or the "Company") decision to separate the roles of President and Chief Execut...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
9.1

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.9
Forward Pe
3.2
Peg Ratio
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.4
Forward P/E: 33.9xPEG: 3.14
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $191.09Resistance $208.78

Price Targets

$202
$240
A.Upside-5.8%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-17 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $208.63 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $202.19. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $239.92 (-5.8% upside). Prior stop was $202.19. Stop-loss: $202.19.

What are the risks of investing in CTAS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CTAS overvalued or undervalued?

Cintas Corporation trades at a P/E of 41.1 (forward 33.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTAS?

27 analysts cover CTAS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $218.

What does Cintas Corporation do?Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses...

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by providing a wide range of products and services that enhance our customers' image and help keep their facilities and employees clean, safe and looking their best.

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