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CTASCintas CorporationSell5.6·$229.03
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cintas is among the highest-quality businesses in the industrial sector — Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, return on equity of 41%, 18% net margins, and a wide economic moat — with three straight earnings beats followed by an in-line quarter at the most recent print, and the reward-to-risk ratio of 1.68 with 9.4% upside to the take-profit target clears the minimum asymmetry bar; however, a confirmed technical downtrend and a forward multiple of 32.2x require patience before the setup fully resolves.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable Franchise→Stable
  • Favorable Risk Reward Setup↓Deteriorating
  • Premium Valuation Limits Cushion↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $229.03 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by... Read more

$229.03-14.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#18 of 30 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.92%
IncomeYield0.91%(5y avg 0.85%)Payout36.88%sustainable
Stop $217.83Analyst target $196.59(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$218.44-4.6%16 analysts with price targets
$229.03price
$218.44mean
$181
$250

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $229.03 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Cintas Corporation

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 17, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.7% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.2
P/E (Fwd)37.2
Mkt Cap$90.9B
EV/EBITDA30.0
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE41.4%
Rev Growth10.9%
Beta0.86
Dividend0.91%
Analysts with ratings27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$165-28.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Date: August 27, 2026 | | By: | /s/ D. Brock Denton | | | D. Brock Denton | | | Executive Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.7
Forward Pe
2.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
3.4
Ps
4.9
Forward P/E: 37.2xPEG: 3.51Expensive valuation
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $197.02Resistance $230.74

Price Targets

A.Upside-14.2%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-17 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $229.03 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $217.83. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTAS stock price target?

Analyst target $196.59 reached (−14.2% from $229.03); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $217.83. Stop-loss: $217.83.

What are the risks of investing in CTAS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CTAS overvalued or undervalued?

Cintas Corporation trades at a P/E of 45.2 (forward 37.2). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTAS?

27 analysts rate CTAS, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $218.

What does Cintas Corporation do?Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses...

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by providing a wide range of products and services that enhance our customers' image and help keep their facilities and employees clean, safe and looking their best.

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