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Cintas Corporation (CTAS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Expensive valuation.

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by... Read more

$174.33+9.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#8 of 21 Specialty Business Services
Stop $168.14Target $191.17(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$212.41+21.8%17 analysts
$191.17our TP
$174.33price
$212.41mean
$160
$255

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.7%
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.8
P/E (Fwd)32.1
Mkt Cap$69.6B
EV/EBITDA24.9
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE41.3%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.01
Dividend1.03%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.48bearish
IV42%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Washington | | 0-11399 | | 31-1188630 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (IRS Employer Identification No.) | | | | | | | | | | | ---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|--- 6800 Cintas Boulevard, P.O.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.4
Forward Pe
3.6
Peg Ratio
3.8
Ps
6.0
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 32.1xPEG: 2.77
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $168.99Resistance $180.70

Price Targets

$168
$191
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $168.14. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $191.17 (+9.7% upside). Prior stop was $168.14. Stop-loss: $168.14.

What are the risks of investing in CTAS?

Thin upside margin: 9.7%; Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is CTAS overvalued or undervalued?

Cintas Corporation trades at a P/E of 36.8 (forward 32.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTAS?

27 analysts cover CTAS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $212.

What does Cintas Corporation do?Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses...

Cintas Corporation (Cintas, Company, we, us or our), a Washington corporation, helps more than one million businesses of all types and sizes, primarily in the United States (U.S.), as well as Canada and Latin America, get READY™ to open their doors with confidence every day by providing a wide range of products and services that enhance our customers' image and help keep their facilities and employees clean, safe and looking their best.

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