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CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.Buy Wait6.3·$27.65+1.88%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This real estate information services business delivers 22% revenue growth and beats earnings by an average of nearly 21% across four consecutive quarters, supported by a wide economic moat and exceptional free cash flow conversion — but a confirmed price downtrend with a death cross in force blocks a constructive entry; the 37.2% upside to analyst targets and a highly favorable risk/reward ratio of 8.86-to-1 make this a high-priority name to revisit once the technical backdrop stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • Earnings Beat DisciplineStable
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $27.38. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $27.65. Engine's entry $27.38 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally under brands including CoStar, LoopNet, Apartments.com, Homes.com, and Domain. Revenue derives from auto-renewing subscription agreements (majority with terms... Read more

$27.65+43.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 19 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.79%
Entry $27.38(support + ATR)Stop $25.88Target $39.56(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$43.95+59.0%20 analysts
$39.56our TP
$27.65price
$43.95mean
$70

Wait for pullback to $27.38. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $27.65. Engine's entry $27.38 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)395.1
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$11.3B
EV/EBITDA41.4
Profit Mgn0.7%
ROE0.3%
Rev Growth22.5%
Beta0.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV79%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    On March 15, 2026, CoStar Group's Board appointed Nana Banerjee as a new director, effective immediately. No committee assignment named at time of appointment. No departure of existing director cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
3.4
Macd
3.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.68Resistance $31.00

Price Targets

$26
$27
$40
A.Upside+43.0%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSGP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $27.38. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $27.65. Engine's entry $27.38 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $39.56 (+43.1%), stop $25.88 (−6.8%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.56 (+43.0% upside). Target $39.56 (+43.1%), stop $25.88 (−6.8%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Stop-loss: $25.88.

Is CSGP overvalued or undervalued?

CoStar Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 395.1 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CSGP?

28 analysts cover CSGP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does CoStar Group, Inc. do?CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally...

CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally under brands including CoStar, LoopNet, Apartments.com, Homes.com, and Domain. Revenue derives from auto-renewing subscription agreements (majority with terms of at least one year) and transaction fees; the company states its revenue streams are highly diversified with no dependence on any one customer.

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