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CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.Sell5.6·$31.60+1.09%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This real estate information services business delivers 22% revenue growth and beats earnings by an average of nearly 21% across four consecutive quarters, supported by a wide economic moat and exceptional free cash flow conversion — but a confirmed price downtrend with a death cross in force blocks a constructive entry; the 37.2% upside to analyst targets and a highly favorable risk/reward ratio of 8.86-to-1 make this a high-priority name to revisit once the technical backdrop stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • Earnings Beat DisciplineImproving
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

CoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. At $31.60, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally under brands including CoStar, LoopNet, Apartments.com, Homes.com, and Domain. Revenue derives from auto-renewing subscription agreements (majority with terms... Read more

$31.60+6.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#9 of 18 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.22%
Stop $29.46Target $33.57(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$37.30+18.0%20 analysts
$33.57our TP
$31.60price
$37.30mean
$25
$53

Sell if holding. At $31.60, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.0%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)176.0
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA32.3
Profit Mgn2.1%
ROE0.9%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta0.73
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C1.73bearish
IV61%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    On March 15, 2026, CoStar Group's Board appointed Nana Banerjee as a new director, effective immediately. No committee assignment named at time of appointment. No departure of existing director cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.1
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -12.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.04Resistance $33.82

Price Targets

$29
$34
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSGP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $31.60, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $29.46. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.57 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $29.46. Stop-loss: $29.46.

What are the risks of investing in CSGP?

Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Negative momentum.

Is CSGP overvalued or undervalued?

CoStar Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 176.0 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSGP?

28 analysts cover CSGP with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $37.

What does CoStar Group, Inc. do?CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally...

CoStar Group operates online real estate marketplaces and data services for commercial and residential markets globally under brands including CoStar, LoopNet, Apartments.com, Homes.com, and Domain. Revenue derives from auto-renewing subscription agreements (majority with terms of at least one year) and transaction fees; the company states its revenue streams are highly diversified with no dependence on any one customer.

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