Revenue expanding at roughly 99% year-over-year and two consecutive outsized earnings beats deliver a compelling growth narrative with 25% upside to the analyst-derived target and a 3.6-to-1 favorable risk/reward—but below-minimum business quality, near-zero returns on equity and assets, and implied volatility above 400% indicate this is a high-risk recovery story that does not yet clear the quality bar for a standard position.
Thesis pillars
- Hypergrowth Revenue Trajectory→Stable
- Outsized Recent Earnings Beats→Stable
- Quality Below Minimum Threshold→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Compass, Inc. (COMP) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Real Estate · Real Estate Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Compass runs a tech-enabled residential real estate brokerage serving 37,000+ professionals across 39 states under the Compass brand; the January 2026 acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate expanded the combined network to 340,000+ professionals under Coldwell Banker, Century 21,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 91. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-30Recent Developments — Compass, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Watching Compass; Hearing Zacks Counterstrike Newsletter Mentions Stock As A Buy — benzinga May 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on Compass, Raises Price Target to $12.5 — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS Davita, Bloomin' Brands, Compass And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Wednesday — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS Why Veeco Instruments Shares Are Trading Higher By 21%; Here Are 20 Stocks Moving Premarket — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS Compass Q1 Adj. EPS $(0.23) Misses $(0.15) Estimate — benzinga May 5, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-06-30T02:13:58Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductowned-brokerage business10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, we earned substantially all of our revenue and earnings from our owned-brokerage business'
- HIGHCustomerreal estate benefit program client10-K Item 1: 'our real estate benefit program revenues are highly concentrated, with one client-directed real estate benefit program contributing a substantial majority'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 91. Prior stop was $11.16. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $11.77 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $11.16. Stop-loss: $11.16.
Concentration risk — Product: owned-brokerage business; Concentration risk — Customer: real estate benefit program client; Target reached (-4.5% upside).
Compass, Inc. trades at a P/E of 570.0 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover COMP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.
What does Compass, Inc. do?Compass runs a tech-enabled residential real estate brokerage serving 37,000+ professionals across 39 states under the...
Compass runs a tech-enabled residential real estate brokerage serving 37,000+ professionals across 39 states under the Compass brand; the January 2026 acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate expanded the combined network to 340,000+ professionals under Coldwell Banker, Century 21, Sotheby's International Realty, ERA, and other brands. Revenue is primarily earned from owned-brokerage commission splits and franchise royalties, with integrated title, escrow, mortgage, and relocation services.