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Compass, Inc. (COMP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.75: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Compass is a global real estate brokerage and technology company that, following its January 2026 Anywhere Real Estate acquisition, operates Coldwell Banker, Century 21, ERA, Corcoran, Sotheby's International Realty, Compass, and other brands with 340,000+ real estate... Read more

$7.75+51.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#6 of 16 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield10.10%
Stop $7.05Target $11.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$13.17+69.9%12 analysts
$11.46our TP
$7.75price
$13.17mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.75: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val7.6Qual2.6Grw10.0Mom4.3Sent7.4Ins5.0Peer5.1Tech5.2Risk4.46.0OVERALL

Recent Developments — Compass, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: single real estate benefit program client
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)379.0
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA91.7
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE0.8%
Rev Growth99.4%
Beta2.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV163%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomersingle real estate benefit program client
    10-K Item 1: 'our real estate benefit program revenues are highly concentrated, with one client-directed real estate benefit program contributing a substantial majority of the high-quality leads generated through our lead generation programs'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-23Item 5.02LOW
    Timothy B. Gustavson appointed Chief Accounting Officer and principal accounting officer effective March 2, 2026. Previously served as CAO at Anywhere Real Estate (Compass subsidiary since Jan 9, 2026). CFO Wahlers continues as CFO/PAF officer.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.1
Roe
0.3
Current Ratio
3.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.9
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.01Resistance $9.59

Price Targets

$7
$11
A.Upside+47.9%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COMP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.75: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.05. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COMP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.46 (+51.2% upside). Prior stop was $7.05. Stop-loss: $7.05.

What are the risks of investing in COMP?

Concentration risk — Customer: single real estate benefit program client; Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is COMP overvalued or undervalued?

Compass, Inc. trades at a P/E of 379.0 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COMP?

17 analysts cover COMP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Compass, Inc. do?Compass is a global real estate brokerage and technology company that, following its January 2026 Anywhere Real Estate...

Compass is a global real estate brokerage and technology company that, following its January 2026 Anywhere Real Estate acquisition, operates Coldwell Banker, Century 21, ERA, Corcoran, Sotheby's International Realty, Compass, and other brands with 340,000+ real estate professionals. Revenue is from commission splits at company-owned offices and royalties from franchisees; 2025 revenue was primarily from the owned-brokerage business.

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