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Compass, Inc. (COMP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.49: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Compass is a global real estate services company with owned brokerage and franchise businesses in every major U.S. city and approximately 120 countries after its January 2026 Anywhere Merger, under brands including Compass, Coldwell Banker, Century 21, and Sotheby's... Read more

$7.49+49.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#9 of 16 Real Estate Services
Stop $6.96Target $11.16(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$12.83+71.3%12 analysts
$11.16our TP
$7.49price
$12.83mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.49: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA78.1
Profit Mgn-0.8%
ROE-9.8%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta2.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C4.50bearish
IV100%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-23Item 5.02LOW
    Timothy B. Gustavson appointed Chief Accounting Officer and principal accounting officer effective March 2, 2026 (former CAO at Anywhere Real Estate). CFO Wahlers continues. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
3.5
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings in 5 days

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.37Resistance $8.35

Price Targets

$7
$11
A.Upside+49.0%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COMP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.49: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $6.96. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COMP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.16 (+49.1% upside). Prior stop was $6.96. Stop-loss: $6.96.

What are the risks of investing in COMP?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is COMP overvalued or undervalued?

Compass, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COMP?

17 analysts cover COMP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Compass, Inc. do?Compass is a global real estate services company with owned brokerage and franchise businesses in every major U.S. city...

Compass is a global real estate services company with owned brokerage and franchise businesses in every major U.S. city and approximately 120 countries after its January 2026 Anywhere Merger, under brands including Compass, Coldwell Banker, Century 21, and Sotheby's International Realty. Revenue comes from collecting a share of gross sales commissions from over 37,000 owned-brokerage agents and royalties from more than 340,000 franchise professionals.

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