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CRMSalesforce, Inc.Hold6.5·$162.77+3.72%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality franchise with exceptional cash conversion and four consecutive earnings beats trades at an attractive valuation, yet a confirmed technical downtrend and death-cross configuration prevent a compelling near-term entry; the setup favors patience until the chart recovers above its long-term trend.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Analyst UpsideImproving
  • Earnings Beat Streak Cash QualityStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Limits EntryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $162.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum.

Salesforce sells subscription-based cloud software for customer relationship management, encompassing sales automation, service management, marketing, commerce, analytics, and data integration, to businesses worldwide. The company generates subscription revenue on contracts... Read more

$162.77+35.9% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#10 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.35%
IncomeYield1.12%Payout19.56%sustainable
Stop $152.20Target $222.38(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$241.72+48.5%53 analysts
$222.38our TP
$162.77price
$241.72mean
$475

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $162.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Salesforce, Inc.

About Salesforce, Inc.

Salesforce's Agentforce 360 Platform consolidates sales automation, service management, marketing, commerce, analytics (Tableau), API integration (MuleSoft), and data management (Informatica and Data 360) on a single cloud platform sold primarily to enterprise customers worldwide. The company closed the Informatica acquisition in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, funded by $6.0 billion in borrowings under the Informatica Credit Agreements. The platform is extended by tens of millions of Trailblazer developers and administrators through the AppExchange marketplace.

Salesforce generates subscription revenue from enterprise customers of all sizes on contracts typically 12 to 36 months in length, selling directly through a sales force and indirectly through a global network of ISVs and system integrators. The company competes against packaged enterprise software vendors, cloud computing platform providers, AI-native startups, and productivity tool providers in what the 10-K describes as a 'highly competitive, rapidly evolving and fragmented' market. Revenue model evolution is material: Agentforce and Data 360 are introducing consumption-based pricing alongside traditional subscriptions, which the 10-K acknowledges presents 'additional risks and challenges' for monetization predictability. Infrastructure is delivered through multi-tenant cloud architecture on third-party hosting facilities, with Hyperforce allowing customers to control data residency locally.

Show full overview

Salesforce's growing AI product portfolio, including Agentforce, exposes the company to a rapidly evolving regulatory landscape. The 10-K identifies privacy laws, cross-border data transfer restrictions, evolving AI-specific regulations, and U.S. export controls as material risks that may impact international operations. The Hyperforce architecture was specifically designed to address data residency requirements across jurisdictions, partially mitigating regulatory risk. A cybersecurity event in 2019 prompted enhanced safeguards; the 10-K notes no material breach has occurred since, though future incidents would trigger disclosure obligations under SEC Form 8-K rules.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Salesforce, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 2, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.2
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$134.0B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn18.7%
ROE16.9%
Rev Growth13.3%
Beta1.18
Dividend1.12%
Rating analysts58

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV54%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOW
    Guy Wanger appointed Chief Accounting Officer and principal accounting officer effective June 15, 2026. Previously Partner at WilliamsMarston LLC (March 2025) and 38 years at Ernst & Young LLP. No departure of existing officer cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.1
Volume
2.4
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $151.49Resistance $175.43

Price Targets

$152
$222
A.Upside+35.9%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-02 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $162.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $222.38 (+36.6%), stop $152.20 (−6.9%), A.R:R 3.9:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $222.38 (+35.9% upside). Target $222.38 (+36.6%), stop $152.20 (−6.9%), A.R:R 3.9:1. Stop-loss: $152.20.

What are the risks of investing in CRM?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CRM overvalued or undervalued?

Salesforce, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CRM?

58 analysts cover CRM with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $242.

What does Salesforce, Inc. do?Salesforce sells subscription-based cloud software for customer relationship management, encompassing sales automation,...

Salesforce sells subscription-based cloud software for customer relationship management, encompassing sales automation, service management, marketing, commerce, analytics, and data integration, to businesses worldwide. The company generates subscription revenue on contracts typically 12-36 months in length, selling directly and through a global network of ISVs and system integrators.

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