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CPBThe Campbell's CompanySell5.1·$22.52-1.25%
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The Campbell's Company (CPB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Rao's single Italy facility.

Campbell's manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products across two segments: Meals & Beverages (soups, Rao's pasta sauces, Pacific Foods, V8) and Snacks (Goldfish, Pepperidge Farm, Snyder's of Hanover), sold primarily in North America through retail food chains,... Read more

$22.52+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#17 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield8.87%
IncomeYield6.84%(5y avg 3.78%)Payout76.47%
Stop $21.00Target $22.78(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$21.44-4.8%18 analysts
$22.78our TP
$22.52price
$21.44mean
$14
$56

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Rao's single Italy facility. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About The Campbell's Company

About The Campbell's Company

Campbell's five largest customers accounted for approximately 47% of consolidated net sales in 2025, with Walmart at approximately 21% — the single largest buyer across both the Meals & Beverages and Snacks segments. Employing approximately 13,700 people as of August 2025 and operating primarily in North America, the company completed the $2.899 billion acquisition of Sovos Brands in March 2024, adding Rao's pasta sauces to a portfolio spanning Campbell's soups, Pepperidge Farm, and Goldfish.

Campbell's sells branded food and beverage products through two segments. Meals & Beverages includes condensed and ready-to-serve soups, Swanson broth, Pacific Foods, Prego pasta sauces, Pace Mexican sauces, V8 juices, and Rao's tomato-based products — the latter produced primarily by a third-party contract manufacturer at a single facility in Italy. Snacks spans Pepperidge Farm cookies and crackers, Goldfish, Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, and Late July snacks; the Snacks segment distributes through a direct-store-delivery model using independent contractor distributors. Key input costs include tomatoes, grains, beef, poultry, dairy, olive oil, wheat, potatoes, and packaging materials including steel, aluminum, and resin — commodities subject to price volatility from weather, trade policy, and geopolitical factors. The company acknowledged moderate tariff-related cost pressures in the fourth quarter of 2025 and expects more significant tariff impacts in 2026.

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Retailer concentration and single-source production risk are the two most specific exposure points disclosed. The company's five largest customers — led by Walmart at 21% of consolidated net sales — collectively drove 47% of net sales in 2025; if any of these accounts reduces purchasing volumes or shelf allocation, results could be adversely affected. Separately, the substantial majority of Rao's tomato-based sauce products are produced by a third-party contract manufacturer at a single facility in Italy; a dispute or operational disruption at that facility may require alternative manufacturing arrangements that could be costly or time-consuming.

See also: Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

From The Campbell's Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 202686d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Rao's single Italy facility
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.2
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE15.4%
Rev Growth-4.4%
Beta0.01
Dividend6.84%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV50%normal
Max Pain$60+166.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWal-Mart Stores, Inc.21%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the largest customer, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and its affiliates, accounting for approximately 21% of our consolidated net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop-5 customers47%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, our five largest customers accounted for approximately 47% of our consolidated net sales'
  • HIGHSupplierRao's single Italy facility
    10-K Item 1A: 'the substantial majority of our Rao's tomato-based sauce products are produced by a third-party contract manufacturer at a single facility in Italy'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.7
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
3.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
5.3
Quality Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.55Resistance $23.24

Price Targets

$21
$23
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $22.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Rao's single Italy facility. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Prior stop was $21.00. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.78 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $21.00. Stop-loss: $21.00.

What are the risks of investing in CPB?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Rao's single Italy facility; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is CPB overvalued or undervalued?

The Campbell's Company trades at a P/E of 11.2 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPB?

28 analysts cover CPB with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $21.

What does The Campbell's Company do?Campbell's manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products across two segments: Meals & Beverages (soups,...

Campbell's manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products across two segments: Meals & Beverages (soups, Rao's pasta sauces, Pacific Foods, V8) and Snacks (Goldfish, Pepperidge Farm, Snyder's of Hanover), sold primarily in North America through retail food chains, mass merchandisers, and e-commerce. The company employed approximately 13,700 people as of August 2025, with Walmart accounting for approximately 21% of consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp.) · HLF (Herbalife Ltd.) · CENTA (Central Garden & Pet Company) · CENT (Central Garden & Pet Company) · MKC-V (McCormick & Company, Incorporat)
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