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COMPCompass, Inc.Sell5.9·$9.37+2.52%
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Compass, Inc. (COMP) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.37: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Compass runs a tech-enabled residential real estate brokerage serving 37,000+ professionals across 39 states under the Compass brand; the January 2026 acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate expanded the combined network to 340,000+ professionals under Coldwell Banker, Century 21,... Read more

$9.37+21.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 16 Real Estate Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield8.37%
Stop $8.76Target $11.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$13.17+40.5%12 analysts
$11.46our TP
$9.37price
$13.17mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.37: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Compass, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T10:31:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: owned-brokerage business
Concentration risk — Customer: real estate benefit program client
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)457.0
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA103.2
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE0.8%
Rev Growth99.4%
Beta2.44
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV85%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductowned-brokerage business
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, we earned substantially all of our revenue and earnings from our owned-brokerage business'
  • HIGHCustomerreal estate benefit program client
    10-K Item 1: 'our real estate benefit program revenues are highly concentrated, with one client-directed real estate benefit program contributing a substantial majority'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
3.5

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.1
Roe
0.3
Current Ratio
3.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.9
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.16Resistance $9.69

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+22.3%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COMP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.37: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.76. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COMP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.46 (+21.7% upside). Prior stop was $8.76. Stop-loss: $8.76.

What are the risks of investing in COMP?

Concentration risk — Product: owned-brokerage business; Concentration risk — Customer: real estate benefit program client; Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is COMP overvalued or undervalued?

Compass, Inc. trades at a P/E of 457.0 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COMP?

18 analysts cover COMP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Compass, Inc. do?Compass runs a tech-enabled residential real estate brokerage serving 37,000+ professionals across 39 states under the...

Compass runs a tech-enabled residential real estate brokerage serving 37,000+ professionals across 39 states under the Compass brand; the January 2026 acquisition of Anywhere Real Estate expanded the combined network to 340,000+ professionals under Coldwell Banker, Century 21, Sotheby's International Realty, ERA, and other brands. Revenue is primarily earned from owned-brokerage commission splits and franchise royalties, with integrated title, escrow, mortgage, and relocation services.

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