Skip to main content
CLBTCellebrite DI Ltd.Sell6.2·$15.60+0.97%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A software infrastructure company with a Rule of 40 score of 49, free cash flow running at more than twice net income, and a PEG of 0.15 trades 40% below the consensus price target at a 5.7-to-1 reward/risk ratio; the primary obstacle is a confirmed price downtrend — moving averages have crossed bearishly with a declining slope — that blocks entry until a technical reversal materializes.

Thesis pillars

  • Growth Priced At Steep DiscountStable
  • Clean Earnings Delivery RecordStable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend Death CrossStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $15.60, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides a platform of software solutions used to access, collect, review, extract, decode, decrypt,... Read more

$15.60+16.7% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#18 of 110 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.83%
Stop $14.55Target $18.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$21.00+34.6%7 analysts
$18.27our TP
$15.60price
$21.00mean
$28

Sell if holding. At $15.60, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5
Elevated risk factors
Overbought (RSI 78)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.9
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$3.9B
EV/EBITDA43.4
Profit Mgn14.5%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth19.3%
Beta1.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.75bearish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
5.7
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.16Resistance $15.99

Price Targets

$15
$18
A.Upside+17.1%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLBT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $15.60, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Prior stop was $14.55. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.27 (+16.7% upside). Prior stop was $14.55. Stop-loss: $14.55.

What are the risks of investing in CLBT?

Leverage penalty (D/E 4.5): -1.5; Elevated risk factors; Overbought (RSI 78).

Is CLBT overvalued or undervalued?

Cellebrite DI Ltd. trades at a P/E of 55.9 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLBT?

14 analysts cover CLBT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Cellebrite DI Ltd. do?Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East,...

Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides a platform of software solutions used to access, collect, review, extract, decode, decrypt, analyze, share and manage digital evidence across the investigative lifecycle for a range of investigations, such as child exploitation, homicide, anti-terror, border control, sexual crimes, organized crime, human trafficking, corporate security, and intellectual property theft, as well as financial crimes, including those involving cryptocurrency. It also offers Inseyets, digital forensics software that collects and reviews digital evidence from various digital sources when conducting legally sanctioned investigations; Guardian Forensics, an evidence management solution which enables customers to manage their digital forensics workflows, and to store, share and review digital evidence; Guardian Collaborate, a digital evidence sharing tool; and Guardian Investigate, a case management and AI-powered analytics solution. In addition, it provides Cellebrite Pathfinder, which reduces the time spent manually reviewing digital evidence and enables actionable insights into a range of crime types; Corellium Falcon for conducting mobile vulnerability research, exploit introspection, and malware analysis; and Corellium Viper for mobile application penetration testing capabilities. Further, the company offers professional services, such as training and certification services, and advanced services. It serves federal, state, and local agencies, as well as corporations and service providers. The company is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

Related stocks: PICS (PicS N.V.) · GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc) · DLO (DLocal Limited) · GEN (Gen Digital Inc.) · ZETA (Zeta Global Holdings Corp.)
Home Stocks CLBT

Latest news

Latest News

TipRanks54d ago
Marketscreener.com61d agoFda Decision
Stock Titan61d ago
MSN53d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative53d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com53d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com53d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com53d agoEarnings
TipRanks53d ago
Yahoo Finance57d ago
Simplywall.st58d ago
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga52d agoAnalyst
Benzinga53d agoEarnings
Benzinga53d agoEarnings
Benzinga53d agoEarnings
Benzinga53d agoEarnings
Benzinga53d ago
Benzinga61d agoProduct
Benzinga65d ago