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CLBTCellebrite DI Ltd.Sell6.0·$12.43
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A software infrastructure company with a Rule of 40 score of 49, free cash flow running at more than twice net income, and a PEG of 0.15 trades 40% below the consensus price target at a 5.7-to-1 reward/risk ratio; the primary obstacle is a confirmed price downtrend — moving averages have crossed bearishly with a declining slope — that blocks entry until a technical reversal materializes.

Thesis pillars

  • Growth Priced At Steep Discount→Stable
  • Clean Earnings Delivery Record→Stable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend Death Cross→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-12). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $12.43, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides a platform of software solutions used to access, collect, review, extract, decode, decrypt,... Read more

$12.43+7.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#35 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.00%
Stop $11.63Analyst target $13.36(−13% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$15.36+23.5%7 analysts with price targets
$13.36Analyst target
$12.43price
$15.36mean
$20

Sell if holding. At $12.43, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — Cellebrite DI Ltd.

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.5%
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.0
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA34.4
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta1.01
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$8-39.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
2.4
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.68Resistance $12.61

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLBT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $12.43, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $11.63. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLBT stock price target?

Analyst target: $13.36 (+7.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.63. Stop-loss: $11.63.

What are the risks of investing in CLBT?

Thin upside margin: 7.5%; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is CLBT overvalued or undervalued?

Cellebrite DI Ltd. trades at a P/E of 54.0 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLBT?

15 analysts rate CLBT, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $15.

What does Cellebrite DI Ltd. do?Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East,...

Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides a platform of software solutions used to access, collect, review, extract, decode, decrypt, analyze, share and manage digital evidence across the investigative lifecycle for a range of investigations, such as child exploitation, homicide, anti-terror, border control, sexual crimes, organized crime, human trafficking, corporate security, and intellectual property theft, as well as financial crimes, including those involving cryptocurrency. It also offers Inseyets, digital forensics software that collects and reviews digital evidence from various digital sources when conducting legally sanctioned investigations; Guardian Forensics, an evidence management solution which enables customers to manage their digital forensics workflows, and to store, share and review digital evidence; Guardian Collaborate, a digital evidence sharing tool; and Guardian Investigate, a case management and AI-powered analytics solution. In addition, it provides Cellebrite Pathfinder, which reduces the time spent manually reviewing digital evidence and enables actionable insights into a range of crime types; Corellium Falcon for conducting mobile vulnerability research, exploit introspection, and malware analysis; and Corellium Viper for mobile application penetration testing capabilities. Further, the company offers professional services, such as training and certification services, and advanced services. It serves federal, state, and local agencies, as well as corporations and service providers. The company is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

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