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CLBTCellebrite DI Ltd.Sell6.1·$11.37
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A software infrastructure company with a Rule of 40 score of 49, free cash flow running at more than twice net income, and a PEG of 0.15 trades 40% below the consensus price target at a 5.7-to-1 reward/risk ratio; the primary obstacle is a confirmed price downtrend — moving averages have crossed bearishly with a declining slope — that blocks entry until a technical reversal materializes.

Thesis pillars

  • Growth Priced At Steep Discount↑Improving
  • Clean Earnings Delivery Record→Stable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cellebrite DI Ltd. (CLBT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides a platform of software solutions used to access, collect, review, extract, decode, decrypt,... Read more

$11.37+17.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#34 of 103 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.32%
Stop $10.72Target $13.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$15.36+35.1%7 analysts
$13.36our TP
$11.37price
$15.36mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.0
P/E (Fwd)17.6
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA31.4
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.05Resistance $12.43

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside+17.5%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLBT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.72. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLBT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.36 (+17.5% upside). Prior stop was $10.72. Stop-loss: $10.72.

What are the risks of investing in CLBT?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CLBT overvalued or undervalued?

Cellebrite DI Ltd. trades at a P/E of 50.0 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLBT?

15 analysts cover CLBT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Cellebrite DI Ltd. do?Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East,...

Cellebrite DI Ltd. develops software and services for legally sanctioned investigations in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides a platform of software solutions used to access, collect, review, extract, decode, decrypt, analyze, share and manage digital evidence across the investigative lifecycle for a range of investigations, such as child exploitation, homicide, anti-terror, border control, sexual crimes, organized crime, human trafficking, corporate security, and intellectual property theft, as well as financial crimes, including those involving cryptocurrency. It also offers Inseyets, digital forensics software that collects and reviews digital evidence from various digital sources when conducting legally sanctioned investigations; Guardian Forensics, an evidence management solution which enables customers to manage their digital forensics workflows, and to store, share and review digital evidence; Guardian Collaborate, a digital evidence sharing tool; and Guardian Investigate, a case management and AI-powered analytics solution. In addition, it provides Cellebrite Pathfinder, which reduces the time spent manually reviewing digital evidence and enables actionable insights into a range of crime types; Corellium Falcon for conducting mobile vulnerability research, exploit introspection, and malware analysis; and Corellium Viper for mobile application penetration testing capabilities. Further, the company offers professional services, such as training and certification services, and advanced services. It serves federal, state, and local agencies, as well as corporations and service providers. The company is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

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