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CHTChunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.Sell4.9·$44.00-0.05%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Chunghwa Telecom currently trades above its analyst-derived near-term price target with an overbought RSI of 70, an extreme put-to-call ratio of 20-to-1, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 9.7 — a combination that leaves the current price level unattractive from a risk/reward perspective despite best-in-class margins relative to peers.

Thesis pillars

  • Stock Above Near Term TargetStable
  • Overbought Momentum RiskStable
  • High Leverage Financial RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5.

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated telecommunications service provider in Taiwan and internationally. The company operates through Consumer Business, Enterprise Business, International Business, and Others segments. Its services... Read more

$44.00+3.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#31 of 46 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield125.14%
IncomeYield3.76%(5y avg 4.02%)Payout96.91%at-risk
Stop $42.78Target $45.55(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$48.08+9.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.0
P/E (Fwd)28.1
Mkt Cap$34.1B
EV/EBITDA1.5
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta0.10
Dividend3.76%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV112%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
4.4
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.72Resistance $46.48

Price Targets

$43
$46
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.1% upside)
! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $42.78. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the CHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.55 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $42.78. Stop-loss: $42.78.

What are the risks of investing in CHT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is CHT overvalued or undervalued?

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 28.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHT?

17 analysts cover CHT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. do?Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated telecommunications service...

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated telecommunications service provider in Taiwan and internationally. The company operates through Consumer Business, Enterprise Business, International Business, and Others segments. Its services primarily include mobile, fixed-line, information and communication technology (ICT), and sales and other services. The company provides mobile services, including prepaid and postpaid plans; fixed-line services, such as fixed broadband and voice, leased line, video, and satellite services; and fixed broadband services comprising broadband access, data communication, and Wi-Fi services. It also offers ICT services consisting of cloud, content delivery network, advanced networks defense system, and web application firewall. In addition, it distributes and sells mobile handsets and wearable devices on its mobile network to customers through its directly owned stores, online store, and third-party retailers, as well as offers interconnection services. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan.

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