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Telephone and Data Systems, Inc (TDS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $40.93. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $44.86. Engine's entry $40.93 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Tenant: T-Mobile; Earnings expected to decline ~98% (cyclical peak).

Telephone and Data Systems provides broadband and communications services via wholly-owned TDS Telecom (1.1M connections in 30 states) and tower leasing via majority-owned Array Digital Infrastructure. Following T-Mobile acquisition of Array wireless business (closed August 1,... Read more

$44.86+10.8% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#34 of 40 Telecom Services
Entry $40.93(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $39.00Target $45.42(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1Setup A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$52.33+16.7%3 analysts
$45.42our TP
$44.86price
$52.33mean
$56

Wait for pullback to $40.93. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $44.86. Engine's entry $40.93 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Tenant: T-Mobile; Earnings expected to decline ~98% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: T-Mobile
Earnings expected to decline ~98% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)113.6
P/E (Fwd)5451.4
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA24.9
Profit Mgn-0.5%
ROE2.7%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.32
Dividend0.36%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$20-55.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHTenantT-Mobile
    10-K Item 1A: 'Array's business is substantially dependent upon T-Mobile'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-24Item 5.02LOW
    2026 TDS Executive Officer Bonus Program approved March 18, 2026. Covers SVP/EVP officers and TDS Telecom President/CEO. Compensatory arrangement; no departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOW
    Joseph R. Hanley, SVP - Strategy and Corporate Development, notified TDS of intent to retire effective July 1, 2026. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.4
Quality Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
7.9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
7.5
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.66Resistance $46.35

Price Targets

$39
$41
$45
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 5451x vs trail 114x (48.0x)
! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TDS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $40.93. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $44.86. Engine's entry $40.93 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Tenant: T-Mobile; Earnings expected to decline ~98% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $45.42 (+1.2%), stop $39.00 (−15.0%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.42 (+10.8% upside). Target $45.42 (+1.2%), stop $39.00 (−15.0%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $39.00.

What are the risks of investing in TDS?

Concentration risk — Tenant: T-Mobile; Earnings expected to decline ~98% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TDS overvalued or undervalued?

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc trades at a P/E of 113.6 (forward 5451.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TDS?

8 analysts cover TDS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $52.

What does Telephone and Data Systems, Inc do?Telephone and Data Systems provides broadband and communications services via wholly-owned TDS Telecom (1.1M...

Telephone and Data Systems provides broadband and communications services via wholly-owned TDS Telecom (1.1M connections in 30 states) and tower leasing via majority-owned Array Digital Infrastructure. Following T-Mobile acquisition of Array wireless business (closed August 1, 2025), Array is substantially dependent on T-Mobile for tower lease revenue.

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