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Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.11 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated telecommunications service provider in Taiwan and internationally. The company operates through Consumer Business, Enterprise Business, International Business, and Others segments. Its services... Read more

$44.11-0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#28 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield126.49%
IncomeYield3.84%(5y avg 4.02%)Payout96.91%at-risk
Stop $42.49Target $43.28(resistance)A.R:R -3.7:1
Analyst target$41.67-5.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.11 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)26.2
Mkt Cap$33.8B
EV/EBITDA3.8
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta0.11
Dividend3.84%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C20.00bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$30-32.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
4.4
GatesA.R:R -3.7=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.79Resistance $44.16

Price Targets

$42
$43
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.11 — A.R:R is negative (-3.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $42.49. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the CHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.28 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $42.49. Stop-loss: $42.49.

What are the risks of investing in CHT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.7): -1.5.

Is CHT overvalued or undervalued?

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 26.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHT?

17 analysts cover CHT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. do?Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated telecommunications service...

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated telecommunications service provider in Taiwan and internationally. The company operates through Consumer Business, Enterprise Business, International Business, and Others segments. Its services primarily include mobile, fixed-line, information and communication technology (ICT), and sales and other services. The company provides mobile services, including prepaid and postpaid plans; fixed-line services, such as fixed broadband and voice, leased line, video, and satellite services; and fixed broadband services comprising broadband access, data communication, and Wi-Fi services. It also offers ICT services consisting of cloud, content delivery network, advanced networks defense system, and web application firewall. In addition, it distributes and sells mobile handsets and wearable devices on its mobile network to customers through its directly owned stores, online store, and third-party retailers, as well as offers interconnection services. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan.

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