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VEONVEON Ltd.Sell5.2·$79.01
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

VEON offers deep value with a 54% margin of safety, forward price-to-earnings of 6.3x, a 37% return on equity, and analyst consensus implying 56% upside, but high leverage at a 2.9 debt-to-equity ratio, volatile earnings with two recent misses, and an emerging-market telecom risk profile require a patient, value-oriented approach.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Margin Of Safety—
  • Roe Wide Moat Quality→Stable
  • High Leverage Earnings Volatility↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

VEON Ltd. (VEON) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and Uzbekistan. The company offers mobile telecommunications services under prepaid and postpaid subscriptions, including value-added and call completion services, national... Read more

$79.01-0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#27 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.47%
Stop $73.74Analyst target $78.31(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$90.02+13.9%8 analysts with price targets
$79.01price
$90.02mean
$74
$112

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — VEON Ltd.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)100.0
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth16.9%
Beta1.62
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$60-24.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MEarnings today

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.4
Quality Rank
4.0
Growth Rank
8.4
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.02Resistance $89.00

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VEON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.01 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $73.74. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the VEON stock price target?

Analyst target $78.31 reached (−0.9% from $79.01); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $73.74. Stop-loss: $73.74.

What are the risks of investing in VEON?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

Is VEON overvalued or undervalued?

VEON Ltd. trades at a P/E of 100.0 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VEON?

11 analysts rate VEON, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $90.

What does VEON Ltd. do?VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and...

VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and Uzbekistan. The company offers mobile telecommunications services under prepaid and postpaid subscriptions, including value-added and call completion services, national and international roaming services, wireless Internet access, mobile financial services, and mobile bundles; fixed-line telecommunications using fiber optic networks; cross-border transmission services; prepaid scratch cards and electronic recharge options; mobile services on 2G, 3G, and 4G/LTE networks; cloud solutions, including consumer storage apps; local, long-distance, and international voice services; and customer support through contact centers. It also provides FikrFree, a digital insurance marketplace; Tamasha, a video streaming app; ROX, a digital lifestyle brand; Garaj, a cloud platform; ApnaClinic and Helsi digital healthcare platforms; SIMOSA, ZARR, and RYZE lifestyle platforms; Kyivstar TV, a media streaming service; My Kyivstar, a self-service application; Uklon, a ride-hailing and delivery platform; Adwisor, an adtech platform; Simply, a mobile-only neobank; BeeTV, an entertainment platform; Hitter and riitm music streaming platforms; MyBL, Janymda, and Hambi super-apps; AI tutor, an AI-powered learning assistant; Toffee, an infotainment platform; BCloud, a digital infrastructure solution; Beepul, a financial services solution; KINOM, a digital entertainment platform; BeeMarket, an electronics and home appliance marketplace; Hambi Davo, a suite of digital health services; and OQ, a digital platform. The company distributes its products and services through a direct sales force, franchises, third-party retailers, distributors, supermarkets, stores, chains, online, offices, and other channels. The company was formerly known as VimpelCom Ltd. and changed its name to VEON Ltd. in March 2017. VEON Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.

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