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VEONVEON Ltd.Hold6.1·$51.26-1.39%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

VEON offers deep value with a 54% margin of safety, forward price-to-earnings of 6.3x, a 37% return on equity, and analyst consensus implying 56% upside, but high leverage at a 2.9 debt-to-equity ratio, volatile earnings with two recent misses, and an emerging-market telecom risk profile require a patient, value-oriented approach.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Margin Of Safety
  • Roe Wide Moat QualityStable
  • High Leverage Earnings VolatilityImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

VEON Ltd. (VEON) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and Uzbekistan. The company offers mobile telecommunications services under prepaid and postpaid subscriptions, including value-added and call completion services, national... Read more

$51.26+41.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#5 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.92%
Stop $49.47Target $72.10(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.6:1
Analyst target$82.87+61.7%7 analysts
$72.10our TP
$51.26price
$82.87mean
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Deep value: 55% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | News modifier -2 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 55%
Wide economic moat
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.8
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA3.9
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE36.7%
Rev Growth17.1%
Beta1.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 4 days

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
2.0
Macd
2.3
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.5
Obv
6.6
Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dA.R:R 6.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.00Resistance $54.84

Price Targets

$49
$72
A.Upside+41.3%
A.R:R6.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VEON stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Deep value: 55% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | News modifier -2 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $72.10 (+40.7%), stop $49.47 (−3.6%), A.R:R 6.6:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VEON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.10 (+41.3% upside). Target $72.10 (+40.7%), stop $49.47 (−3.6%), A.R:R 6.6:1. Stop-loss: $49.47.

What are the risks of investing in VEON?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.9): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is VEON overvalued or undervalued?

VEON Ltd. trades at a P/E of 6.8 (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VEON?

10 analysts cover VEON with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $83.

What does VEON Ltd. do?VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and...

VEON Ltd. provides telecommunications and digital services in Pakistan, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bangladesh, and Uzbekistan. The company offers mobile telecommunications services under prepaid and postpaid subscriptions, including value-added and call completion services, national and international roaming services, wireless Internet access, mobile financial services, and mobile bundles; fixed-line telecommunications using fiber optic networks; cross-border transmission services; prepaid scratch cards and electronic recharge options; mobile services on 2G, 3G, and 4G/LTE networks; cloud solutions, including consumer storage apps; local, long-distance, and international voice services; and customer support through contact centers. It also provides FikrFree, a digital insurance marketplace; Tamasha, a video streaming app; ROX, a digital lifestyle brand; Garaj, a cloud platform; ApnaClinic and Helsi digital healthcare platforms; SIMOSA, ZARR, and RYZE lifestyle platforms; Kyivstar TV, a media streaming service; My Kyivstar, a self-service application; Uklon, a ride-hailing and delivery platform; Adwisor, an adtech platform; Simply, a mobile-only neobank; BeeTV, an entertainment platform; Hitter and riitm music streaming platforms; MyBL, Janymda, and Hambi super-apps; AI tutor, an AI-powered learning assistant; Toffee, an infotainment platform; BCloud, a digital infrastructure solution; Beepul, a financial services solution; KINOM, a digital entertainment platform; BeeMarket, an electronics and home appliance marketplace; Hambi Davo, a suite of digital health services; and OQ, a digital platform. The company distributes its products and services through a direct sales force, franchises, third-party retailers, distributors, supermarkets, stores, chains, online, offices, and other channels. The company was formerly known as VimpelCom Ltd. and changed its name to VEON Ltd. in March 2017. VEON Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.

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