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CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.Hold4.9·$189.99-1.94%
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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $189.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between... Read more

$189.99+0.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#6 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.81%
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 2.28%)Payout50.61%sustainable
Stop $178.32Target $191.10(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$197.04+3.7%24 analysts
$191.10our TP
$189.99price
$197.04mean
$90
$230

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $189.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.2
P/E (Fwd)26.4
Mkt Cap$22.8B
EV/EBITDA27.4
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE34.8%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta0.93
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$110-42.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop 100 customers40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top 100 customers based on total revenue comprised approximately 40 percent of our consolidated total revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOW
    On May 29, 2026, the Talent & Compensation Committee approved a special equity award for Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer Arun Rajan: performance stock units valued at $6 million (target) and restricted stock units valued at $1.5 million. Routine retention/performance award; no departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Earnings Growth
4.0
Declining revenue: -1%
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $161.86Resistance $195.00

Price Targets

$178
$191
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHRW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $189.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $191.10 (+0.6%), stop $178.32 (−6.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHRW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $191.10 (+0.7% upside). Target $191.10 (+0.6%), stop $178.32 (−6.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $178.32.

What are the risks of investing in CHRW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is CHRW overvalued or undervalued?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.2 (forward 26.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHRW?

31 analysts cover CHRW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $197.

What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North...

C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between shipper charges and carrier costs, serving 75,000 customers through a network of 450,000 contract carriers managing 37 million annual shipments.

Related stocks: ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.) · PBI (Pitney Bowes Inc.) · FDX (FedEx Corporation) · EXPD (Expeditors International of Was) · GXO (GXO Logistics, Inc.)
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