C.H. Robinson brings four straight earnings beats with rising analyst estimates, but the stock trades just 0.4% below its near-term price target, producing an unfavorable risk/reward, while declining revenues and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.0 suggest the setup favors patience rather than new exposure at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat With Rising Estimates→Stable
- Target Reached Unfavorable Asymmetry↑Improving
- Declining Revenue No Moat→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $186.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).
C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $186.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS CHRW Maintained by Susquehanna -- Price Target Lowered to $215 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Susquehanna Issues Pessimistic Forecast for C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW) Stock Price - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS C.H.Robinson (CHRW) Stock Schedule 13 (+0.28%) 2026-04-22 - New Listings - Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Tây Ninh — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Tây Ninh neutral
- NEWS C.H.Robinson (CHRW) Stock Schedule 13 (+0.28%) 2026-04-22 - Real-time Trade Ideas - UBND thành phố Hải Phòng — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng neutral
- NEWS C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop 100 customers40%10-K Item 1A: 'our top 100 customers based on total revenue comprised approximately 40 percent of our consolidated total revenues'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOWOn May 29, 2026, the Talent & Compensation Committee approved a special equity award for Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer Arun Rajan: performance stock units valued at $6 million (target) and restricted stock units valued at $1.5 million. Routine retention/performance award; no departure cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $186.50 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $174.98. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $206.12 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $174.98. Stop-loss: $174.98.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak growth.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.6 (forward 25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover CHRW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $203.
What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North...
C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between shipper charges and carrier costs, serving 75,000 customers through a network of 450,000 contract carriers managing 37 million annual shipments.