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CALYCallaway Golf CompanySell5.0·$18.16+1.40%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with an extraordinary average surprise magnitude, a technically confirmed uptrend, and a 9/9 Piotroski score signal that the underlying business is in sound health — the setup favors holding an existing position but the stock has closed most of the gap to near-term resistance, limiting the case for adding aggressively.

Thesis pillars

  • Extraordinary Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Near Perfect Financial Health ScoreStable
  • Confirmed Bullish Technical SetupDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Callaway Golf Company (CALY) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $18.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Callaway Golf designs, manufactures, and sells golf clubs, golf balls, and soft goods under Callaway, Odyssey, TravisMathew, and OGIO brands through two segments: Golf Equipment and Apparel, Gear & Other. Products are sold wholesale to golf retailers and directly to consumers... Read more

$18.16-9.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#13 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.85%
Stop $17.15Target $19.87(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$18.80+3.5%10 analysts
$19.87our TP
$18.16price
$18.80mean
$17
$23

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $18.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 5.0/10
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)69.8
P/E (Fwd)22.9
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA16.0
Profit Mgn-15.0%
ROE2.2%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.56bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop-5 consolidated customers21%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top five customers accounted for approximately 21%, 22% and 23% of our consolidated revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • LOWCustomerGolf Equipment top-5 customers24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Golf Equipment top five customers accounted for approximately 24%, 26% and 25% of total consolidated Golf Equipment sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomerApparel, Gear top-5 customers25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Apparel, Gear and Other top five customers accounted for approximately 25%, 24% and 26% of total consolidated Apparel, Gear and Other sales in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.1
Volume
0.4
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.9
Value Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
4.3
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.68Resistance $20.28

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside-9.9%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.9% upside)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CALY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $18.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 5.0/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $17.15. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CALY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.87 (-9.9% upside). Prior stop was $17.15. Stop-loss: $17.15.

What are the risks of investing in CALY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Negative momentum.

Is CALY overvalued or undervalued?

Callaway Golf Company trades at a P/E of 69.8 (forward 22.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CALY?

19 analysts cover CALY with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Callaway Golf Company do?Callaway Golf designs, manufactures, and sells golf clubs, golf balls, and soft goods under Callaway, Odyssey,...

Callaway Golf designs, manufactures, and sells golf clubs, golf balls, and soft goods under Callaway, Odyssey, TravisMathew, and OGIO brands through two segments: Golf Equipment and Apparel, Gear & Other. Products are sold wholesale to golf retailers and directly to consumers globally; following the January 2026 Topgolf divestiture, the company employs approximately 4,000 people in 25 countries.

Related stocks: HAS (Hasbro, Inc.) · PLNT (Planet Fitness, Inc.) · YETI (YETI Holdings, Inc.) · AS (Amer Sports, Inc.) · OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited)
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