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CAAPCorporacion America Airports SASell6.0·$24.15-0.25%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Corporacion America Airports offers compelling growth at a discount — 20% revenue growth year-over-year, a PEG of 0.14, and free cash flow conversion of 214% of net income — but has stumbled badly on earnings execution, missing analyst estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. The stock sits just 0.4% below technical resistance with an unfavorable risk/reward, making the setup a hold until earnings reliability is restored.

Thesis pillars

  • Exhausted Near Term Price UpsideStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Corporacion America Airports SA (CAAP) Stock Analysis

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. At $24.15, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to... Read more

$24.15+16.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield15.30%
Stop $22.46Target $28.08(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$32.27+33.6%7 analysts
$28.08our TP
$24.15price
$32.27mean
$36

Sell if holding. At $24.15, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 23, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$4.0B
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn13.6%
ROE17.4%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $21.19Resistance $24.69

Price Targets

$22
$28
A.Upside+16.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-23 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $24.15, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $22.46. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.08 (+16.3% upside). Prior stop was $22.46. Stop-loss: $22.46.

What are the risks of investing in CAAP?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is CAAP overvalued or undervalued?

Corporacion America Airports SA trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAAP?

15 analysts cover CAAP with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Corporacion America Airports SA do?Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It...

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to Corporación América Airports S.A. in September 2017. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Corporación América Airports S.A. operates as a subsidiary of A.C.I. Airports S.à r.l.

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