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CAAPCorporacion America Airports SASell6.3·$25.23-0.20%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Corporacion America Airports offers compelling growth at a discount — 20% revenue growth year-over-year, a PEG of 0.14, and free cash flow conversion of 214% of net income — but has stumbled badly on earnings execution, missing analyst estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters. The stock sits just 0.4% below technical resistance with an unfavorable risk/reward, making the setup a hold until earnings reliability is restored.

Thesis pillars

  • Exhausted Near Term Price UpsideStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Corporacion America Airports SA (CAAP) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airports & Air Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to... Read more

$25.23+11.8% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 5 Airports & Air Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield14.73%
Stop $23.94Target $28.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$32.43+28.5%7 analysts
$28.21our TP
$25.23price
$32.43mean
$36

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE17.4%
Rev Growth20.1%
Beta0.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.58bearish
IV80%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.68Resistance $28.73

Price Targets

$24
$28
A.Upside+11.8%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.94. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.21 (+11.8% upside). Prior stop was $23.94. Stop-loss: $23.94.

What are the risks of investing in CAAP?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is CAAP overvalued or undervalued?

Corporacion America Airports SA trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAAP?

14 analysts cover CAAP with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Corporacion America Airports SA do?Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It...

Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to Corporación América Airports S.A. in September 2017. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Corporación América Airports S.A. operates as a subsidiary of A.C.I. Airports S.à r.l.

Related stocks: OMAB (Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro ) · PAC (Grupo Aeroportuario Del Pacific) · ASR (Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste) · JOBY (Joby Aviation, Inc.)
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