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BXBlackstone Inc.Hold5.8·$129.90+4.34%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Blackstone is a high-quality asset manager with a wide economic moat, strong margins, and a four-quarter earnings beat streak, but a confirmed price downtrend and reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 0.51-to-1 limit the near-term case for adding exposure at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Franchise Quality MoatStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Price Downtrend HeadwindImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Blackstone Inc. (BX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)QualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Blackstone manages $1.3 trillion in total assets across four segments — Real Estate ($319 billion AUM), Private Equity ($416 billion), Credit & Insurance ($443 billion), and Multi-Asset Investing ($96 billion). The firm earns management fees and performance allocations on behalf... Read more

$129.90-2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#78 of 239 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.05%(5y avg 3.38%)Payout121.54%at-risk
Stop $121.46Target $128.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$141.43+8.9%21 analysts
$128.38our TP
$129.90price
$141.43mean
$119
$184

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Blackstone Inc.

About Blackstone Inc.

Blackstone managed $1.3 trillion in total assets under management at December 31, 2025, with Credit & Insurance leading at $443.0 billion, followed by Private Equity at $416.4 billion, Real Estate at $319.3 billion, and Multi-Asset Investing at $96.2 billion. The firm employed approximately 5,285 professionals including 268 senior managing directors, deployed across institutional and private wealth channels in the Americas, Europe, and Asia.

Blackstone earns management fees as a percentage of AUM — calculated on committed capital, invested capital, or net asset value depending on fund structure — plus Performance Revenues once funds achieve preferred return thresholds. Perpetual capital vehicles such as BREIT, BXMT, BCRED, BXSL, BIP, and BXPE generate continuously recurring management fees and have substantially increased as a share of total AUM in recent years. Performance Allocations from traditional drawdown carry funds depend on realizations, creating quarterly cash flow volatility. In recent periods, the Credit & Insurance segment's credit portfolios benefited from elevated interest rates because a substantial majority of that portfolio is floating rate; a decline in rates could weigh on that tailwind. Investors include pension funds, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds, and a growing base of high-net-worth individuals through the Private Wealth channel.

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Blackstone's real estate segment is particularly exposed to the pace of interest rate normalization. The 10-K notes that elevated rates have reduced real estate valuations, slowed fundraising in private wealth-targeted real estate strategies, and made it harder to exit investments in life science office and traditional office sectors where long-term leases do not permit near-term rent increases. If rates remain elevated longer than anticipated, real estate valuations may face continued pressure, while a rapid rate decline could simultaneously compress the floating-rate credit income advantage embedded in the Credit & Insurance portfolios — exposing the company to asymmetric risk across segments depending on rate trajectory.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Blackstone Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.8
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$161.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn21.2%
ROE29.5%
Rev Growth5.7%
Beta1.58
Dividend4.05%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.11bearish
IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
4.1

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.8
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $112.78Resistance $131.00

Price Targets

$121
$128
A.Upside-2.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $128.38 (-1.2%), stop $121.46 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $128.38 (-2.1% upside). Target $128.38 (-1.2%), stop $121.46 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $121.46.

What are the risks of investing in BX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is BX overvalued or undervalued?

Blackstone Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.8 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BX?

33 analysts cover BX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $141.

What does Blackstone Inc. do?Blackstone manages $1.3 trillion in total assets across four segments — Real Estate ($319 billion AUM), Private Equity...

Blackstone manages $1.3 trillion in total assets across four segments — Real Estate ($319 billion AUM), Private Equity ($416 billion), Credit & Insurance ($443 billion), and Multi-Asset Investing ($96 billion). The firm earns management fees and performance allocations on behalf of pension funds, insurance companies, and individual investors, employing approximately 5,285 people globally.

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