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Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $134.07: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with $938.4B total AUM across three segments: Asset Management (credit $749B, equity $189B), Retirement Services (Athene annuities), and Principal Investing. Fee-related... Read more

$134.07+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#110 of 112 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.68%(5y avg 2.16%)Payout128.30%at-risk
Stop $124.57Target $135.16(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$150.18+12.0%17 analysts
$135.16our TP
$134.07price
$150.18mean
$125
$173

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $134.07: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Apollo Global Management, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene
Target reached (1.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)83.8
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$77.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth-9.2%
Beta1.52
Dividend1.68%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV43%normal
Max Pain$106-20.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyAthene
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, Apollo managed or advised $392.2 billion of AUM, of which $386.5 billion was Fee-Generating AUM, in accounts owned by or related to Athene'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.2
Declining revenue: -9%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
2.6
Value Rank
4.3

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.5
Net Margin
1.8
Roe
2.8
Gross Margin
3.0
Moat
3.9
Operating Margin
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.1
No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $119.50Resistance $136.01

Price Targets

$125
$135
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $134.07: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $124.57. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.16 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $124.57. Stop-loss: $124.57.

What are the risks of investing in APO?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Athene; Target reached (1.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is APO overvalued or undervalued?

Apollo Global Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 83.8 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APO?

23 analysts cover APO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $150.

What does Apollo Global Management, Inc. do?Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with...

Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with $938.4B total AUM across three segments: Asset Management (credit $749B, equity $189B), Retirement Services (Athene annuities), and Principal Investing. Fee-related earnings from asset management fees and Athene's spread income from annuity liabilities matched against Apollo-originated assets drive revenue.

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