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Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with $938.4B AUM, operating Asset Management, Retirement Services, and Principal Investing segments. It earns fees via credit and equity investing strategies—Credit is its... Read more

$127.70+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#65 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $118.93Target $128.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$139.06+8.9%17 analysts
$128.38our TP
$127.70price
$139.06mean
$108
$173

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$70.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth87.7%
Beta1.56
Dividend1.67%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$70-45.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $102.70Resistance $131.00

Price Targets

$119
$128
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Prior stop was $118.93. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $128.38 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $118.93. Stop-loss: $118.93.

What are the risks of investing in APO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is APO overvalued or undervalued?

Apollo Global Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APO?

23 analysts cover APO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $139.

What does Apollo Global Management, Inc. do?Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with...

Apollo Global Management is a high-growth global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with $938.4B AUM, operating Asset Management, Retirement Services, and Principal Investing segments. It earns fees via credit and equity investing strategies—Credit is its largest at $749.2B AUM—plus spread income from its retirement services business.

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