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BUDAnheuser-Busch Inbev SA SponsorHold6.3·$81.66+1.47%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BUD is a high-quality consumer defensive business that has beaten earnings estimates in each of the last four quarters, but with the share price above the near-term resistance target and negative reward-to-risk geometry, the setup does not justify adding to a position today.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Growth Leader Peer RankStable
  • Price Above Target No UpsideStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsor (BUD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away).

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding... Read more

$81.66+0.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.67%(5y avg 1.34%)Payout36.02%sustainable
Stop $78.38Target $81.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$94.13+15.3%10 analysts
$81.90our TP
$81.66price
$94.13mean
$111

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.3
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$157.7B
EV/EBITDA52.0
Profit Mgn11.9%
ROE
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.79
Dividend1.67%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.57bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.44Resistance $85.56

Price Targets

$78
$82
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BUD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $81.66, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $81.90 (+0.3%), stop $78.38 (−4.2%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BUD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.90 (+0.3% upside). Target $81.90 (+0.3%), stop $78.38 (−4.2%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $78.38.

What are the risks of investing in BUD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is BUD overvalued or undervalued?

Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsor trades at a P/E of 22.3 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BUD?

32 analysts cover BUD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $94.

What does Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsor do?Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle...

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding Companies segments. The company also offers flavored malt beverages, soft drinks, spirit-based ready-to-drink cocktails and beverages, and energy drinks. In addition, it operates BEES, a business-to-business digital commerce platform; on-demand delivery platforms under the Zé Delivery and TaDa Delivery brands; and premium at-home draft system under the PerfectDraft brand. The company provides a portfolio of approximately 500 beer brands, which primarily include Budweiser, Corona Extra, Michelob Ultra, and Stella Artois; Aguila, Brahma, Carling Black Label, Cass Fresh, Jupiler, Quilmes, SKOL, and Victoria; Beck's, Hoegaarden, and Leffe; Antarctica, Bud Light, Castle, Castle Lite, Cristal, Harbin, Modelo Especial, Sedrin, and Skol brands, as well as non-beer brands comprising Brutal Fruit, Cutwater, and NÜTRL brands. The company was formerly known as InBev SA and changed its name to Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV in November 2008. Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV was founded in 1366 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium.

Related stocks: STZ (Constellation Brands, Inc.) · ABEV (Ambev S.A.) · FMX (Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.) · MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) · KVUE (Kenvue Inc.)
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