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Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: TCCC distribution; Concentration risk — Product: energy drinks.

Monster Beverage develops and markets energy drinks under Monster Energy, Reign, Bang Energy, and other brands globally through Coca-Cola's distribution network, plus an Alcohol Brands segment. Revenue comes primarily from energy drink sales to bottlers and retailers across four... Read more

$77.33-0.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Stop $74.29Target $76.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$85.46+10.5%23 analysts
$76.80our TP
$77.33price
$85.46mean
$64
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: TCCC distribution; Concentration risk — Product: energy drinks. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: TCCC distribution
Concentration risk — Product: energy drinks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.6
P/E (Fwd)30.3
Mkt Cap$75.2B
EV/EBITDA27.3
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE26.8%
Rev Growth17.6%
Beta0.51
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$55-28.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerTCCC distribution
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have reduced our distributor diversification and are now dependent on TCCC's domestic and international distribution platforms'
  • HIGHProductenergy drinks
    10-K Item 1A: 'Most of our sales are currently derived from our energy drinks'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.0
Forward Pe
3.9
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.1
Peg Ratio
4.3
Forward P/E: 30.3xPEG: 2.23
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.74Resistance $78.37

Price Targets

$74
$77
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MNST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: TCCC distribution; Concentration risk — Product: energy drinks. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $76.80 (-0.7%), stop $74.29 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MNST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.80 (-0.5% upside). Target $76.80 (-0.7%), stop $74.29 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $74.29.

What are the risks of investing in MNST?

Concentration risk — Customer: TCCC distribution; Concentration risk — Product: energy drinks; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MNST overvalued or undervalued?

Monster Beverage Corporation trades at a P/E of 39.6 (forward 30.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MNST?

32 analysts cover MNST with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Monster Beverage Corporation do?Monster Beverage develops and markets energy drinks under Monster Energy, Reign, Bang Energy, and other brands globally...

Monster Beverage develops and markets energy drinks under Monster Energy, Reign, Bang Energy, and other brands globally through Coca-Cola's distribution network, plus an Alcohol Brands segment. Revenue comes primarily from energy drink sales to bottlers and retailers across four segments; TCCC serves as the primary domestic and international distribution partner.

Related stocks: COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.) · CELH (Celsius Holdings, Inc.) · KO (Coca-Cola Company (The)) · CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners ) · PEP (Pepsico, Inc.)