Skip to main content

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: TCCC distribution network; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Monster Beverage develops, markets, and sells energy drinks under the Monster Energy brand family, Strategic Brands (NOS, Full Throttle, Burn, etc.), and craft beers/FMBs through Alcohol Brands. Substantially all US and international distribution has transitioned to Coca-Cola... Read more

$86.50+12.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.99%
Entry $77.28(50-day MA)Stop $72.36Target $86.99(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$88.25+2.0%23 analysts
$86.99our TP
$86.50price
$88.25mean
$64
$102

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: TCCC distribution network; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $86.53 has reached target $86.99. No upside to wait for. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val3.1Qual8.7Grw8.5Mom6.7Sent6.7Ins5.2Peer5.3Tech4.5Risk6.26.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Monster Beverage Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: TCCC distribution network
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.7
P/E (Fwd)33.5
Mkt Cap$84.5B
EV/EBITDA28.9
Profit Mgn23.1%
ROE26.7%
Rev Growth26.9%
Beta0.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C3.26bearish
IV30%normal
Max Pain$105+21.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyTCCC distribution network
    10-K Item 1: 'All distribution territories in the United States, and substantially all distribution territories internationally have been transitioned to TCCC network bottlers/distributors.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.9
Forward Pe
3.3
Ps
3.7
Peg Ratio
4.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward P/E: 33.5xPEG: 2.53
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.60Resistance $88.77

Price Targets

$72
$77
$87
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.2% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MNST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $86.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: TCCC distribution network; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $86.53 has reached target $86.99. No upside to wait for. Target $86.99 (+0.6%), stop $72.36 (−19.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MNST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $86.99 (+12.6% upside). Target $86.99 (+0.6%), stop $72.36 (−19.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $72.36.

What are the risks of investing in MNST?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: TCCC distribution network; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away).

Is MNST overvalued or undervalued?

Monster Beverage Corporation trades at a P/E of 41.7 (forward 33.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MNST?

32 analysts cover MNST with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $88.

What does Monster Beverage Corporation do?Monster Beverage develops, markets, and sells energy drinks under the Monster Energy brand family, Strategic Brands...

Monster Beverage develops, markets, and sells energy drinks under the Monster Energy brand family, Strategic Brands (NOS, Full Throttle, Burn, etc.), and craft beers/FMBs through Alcohol Brands. Substantially all US and international distribution has transitioned to Coca-Cola (TCCC) network bottlers/distributors; TCCC owned approximately 20.9% of Monster common stock as of February 2026.

Related stocks: COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.) · PEP (Pepsico, Inc.) · KO (Coca-Cola Company (The)) · CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners ) · KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.)