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BSACBanco Santander - ChileSell6.0·$33.47-0.80%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Banco Santander Chile has run above its near-term price target while delivering four consecutive earnings misses and contracting revenue, making the current positive price momentum a poor foundation for an investment case that lacks fundamental support.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Target Negative Implied ReturnDeteriorating
  • Four Consecutive Earnings MissesDeteriorating
  • Best In Class Margins Weak FundamentalsDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Banco Santander - Chile (BSAC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Earnings in 6 days (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Banco Santander-Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial and retail banking products and services in Chile. It operates through Retail, Wealth Management & Insurance, Middle-Market, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Corporate Activities and Other segments.... Read more

$33.47-10.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#115 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.39%(5y avg 5.59%)Payout58.60%sustainable
Stop $31.75Target $33.68(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$34.28+2.4%11 analysts
$33.68our TP
$33.47price
$34.28mean
$19
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Banco Santander - Chile

Generated 2026-07-26T06:22:13Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$15.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn47.3%
ROE23.6%
Rev Growth19.3%
Beta0.24
Dividend4.39%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
7.5
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 6 daysDividend: 4.4%
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.56Resistance $34.37

Price Targets

$32
$34
A.Upside-10.9%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BSAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.47 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $31.75. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BSAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.68 (-10.9% upside). Prior stop was $31.75. Stop-loss: $31.75.

What are the risks of investing in BSAC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is BSAC overvalued or undervalued?

Banco Santander - Chile trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BSAC?

16 analysts cover BSAC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Banco Santander - Chile do?Banco Santander-Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial and retail banking products and services in...

Banco Santander-Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial and retail banking products and services in Chile. It operates through Retail, Wealth Management & Insurance, Middle-Market, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Corporate Activities and Other segments. The company provides checking accounts and savings products; debit and credit cards; consumer, auto, commercial, mortgage, and government-guaranteed loans; and Chilean peso and foreign currency denominated loans to finance various commercial transactions, trade, foreign currency forward contracts, and credit lines, as well as mortgage financing services. It offers mutual fund management, insurance and securities brokerage, foreign exchange services, financial leasing, financial consulting and advisory, investment management, foreign trade, leasing, factoring, treasury, and transactional services, as well as specialized services to finance residential projects. In addition, the company offers short-term financing and funding, and brokerage services, as well as derivatives, securitization, and other products; and manages capital allocations. Further, it provides health, life, travel, automobile, and unemployment insurance products; personal and corporate protection products; guarantees; international investment accounts, structured funds, and alternative investment funds; and wealth management and open architecture, asset management, and private banking services. It serves individuals, small to middle-sized companies, and other companies, as well as universities, government agencies, municipalities, regional governments, and construction and real estate companies. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile. Banco Santander-Chile is a subsidiary of Banco Santander, S.A.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · FBK (FB Financial Corporation) · INDB (Independent Bank Corp.) · SFBS (ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.)
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