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BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway Inc.Sell6.5·$759962.47-0.40%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The business demonstrates strong price momentum and an attractive growth-adjusted valuation, but the stock has risen above the near-term resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward, and two consecutive earnings misses add near-term uncertainty — the setup favors holding rather than adding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Resistance TargetStable
  • Strong Price MomentumImproving
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $759962.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and... Read more

$759962.47-10.6% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.61%
Stop $745274.79Target $789980.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$799502.75+5.2%4 analysts
$789980.75our TP
$759962.47price
$799502.75mean
$735000
$906011

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $759962.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Sat, Nov 7, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)22.8
Mkt Cap$1.09T
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn22.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyIAG
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of the NICO Group's annual reinsurance premium currently derives from a 20% quota-share agreement with Insurance Australia Group Limited ("IAG")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Item 5.02(c) officer appointment filed May 7, 2026 (event date May 2). Body states appointment was 'as previously announced'; remainder truncated. Per 10-K, Gregory E. Abel succeeded Warren E. Buffett as CEO effective January 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
2.6
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $743500.00Resistance $806102.81

Price Targets

$745275
$789981
A.Upside-10.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.6% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-07 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRK-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $759962.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $745274.79. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRK-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $789980.75 (-10.6% upside). Prior stop was $745274.79. Stop-loss: $745274.79.

What are the risks of investing in BRK-A?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BRK-A overvalued or undervalued?

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 22.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRK-A?

10 analysts cover BRK-A with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $799503.

What does Berkshire Hathaway Inc. do?Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance...

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and retailing subsidiaries. The company employed approximately 387,800 people worldwide at year-end 2025, with insurance float of approximately $176 billion providing the core investment capital base.

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