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BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway Inc.Sell5.7·$761579.98+1.41%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The business demonstrates strong price momentum and an attractive growth-adjusted valuation, but the stock has risen above the near-term resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward, and two consecutive earnings misses add near-term uncertainty — the setup favors holding rather than adding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Resistance TargetStable
  • Strong Price MomentumStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $761579.98 — A.R:R is negative (-2.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.7% away).

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and... Read more

$761579.98+15.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 14 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.59%
Stop $742288.20Target $875816.98(default +15%)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst target$758899.00-0.4%4 analysts
$875816.98our TP
$761579.98price
$758899.00mean
$695000
$875817

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $761579.98 — A.R:R is negative (-2.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Sat, Aug 1, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.7% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)24.1
Mkt Cap$1.10T
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn19.3%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyIAG
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of the NICO Group's annual reinsurance premium currently derives from a 20% quota-share agreement with Insurance Australia Group Limited ("IAG")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Item 5.02(c) officer appointment filed May 7, 2026 (event date May 2). Body states appointment was 'as previously announced'; remainder truncated. Per 10-K, Gregory E. Abel succeeded Warren E. Buffett as CEO effective January 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
4.3
Growth Rank
6.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
9.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.4
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $711648.44Resistance $761579.98

Price Targets

$742288
$875817
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-01 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRK-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $761579.98 — A.R:R is negative (-2.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.7% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $742288.20. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRK-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $875816.98 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $742288.20. Stop-loss: $742288.20.

What are the risks of investing in BRK-A?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.7% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BRK-A overvalued or undervalued?

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 24.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRK-A?

10 analysts cover BRK-A with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $758899.

What does Berkshire Hathaway Inc. do?Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance...

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and retailing subsidiaries. The company employed approximately 387,800 people worldwide at year-end 2025, with insurance float of approximately $176 billion providing the core investment capital base.

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