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BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway Inc.Sell6.2·$758505.68
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The business demonstrates strong price momentum and an attractive growth-adjusted valuation, but the stock has risen above the near-term resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward, and two consecutive earnings misses add near-term uncertainty — the setup favors holding rather than adding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Resistance Target→Stable
  • Strong Price Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $758505.68 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and... Read more

$758505.68-10.4% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.65%
Stop $739891.90Target $872281.53(default +15%)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$799502.75+5.4%4 analysts
$872281.53our TP
$758505.68price
$799502.75mean
$735000
$906011

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $758505.68 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Sat, Nov 7, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)22.6
Mkt Cap$1.08T
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn22.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyIAG
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of the NICO Group's annual reinsurance premium currently derives from a 20% quota-share agreement with Insurance Australia Group Limited ("IAG")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Item 5.02(c) officer appointment filed May 7, 2026 (event date May 2). Body states appointment was 'as previously announced'; remainder truncated. Per 10-K, Gregory E. Abel succeeded Warren E. Buffett as CEO effective January 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
2.6
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $751337.00Resistance $785519.61

Price Targets

$739892
$872282
A.Upside-10.4%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.4% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-07 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRK-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $758505.68 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $739891.90. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRK-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $872281.53 (-10.4% upside). Prior stop was $739891.90. Stop-loss: $739891.90.

What are the risks of investing in BRK-A?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BRK-A overvalued or undervalued?

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 22.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRK-A?

10 analysts cover BRK-A with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $799503.

What does Berkshire Hathaway Inc. do?Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance...

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and retailing subsidiaries. The company employed approximately 387,800 people worldwide at year-end 2025, with insurance float of approximately $176 billion providing the core investment capital base.

Related stocks: BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway Inc. New) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · BX (Blackstone Inc.) · MS (Morgan Stanley) · JPM (JP Morgan Chase & Co.)
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