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BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway Inc.Sell6.2·$798000.00
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The business demonstrates strong price momentum and an attractive growth-adjusted valuation, but the stock has risen above the near-term resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward, and two consecutive earnings misses add near-term uncertainty — the setup favors holding rather than adding at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Resistance Target→Stable
  • Strong Price Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-A) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $798000.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing).

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and... Read more

$798000.00-14.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.39%
Stop $782184.30Analyst target $679577.34(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$799502.75+0.2%4 analysts
$798000.00price
$799502.75mean
$735000
$906011

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $798000.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Sat, Nov 7, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong growth profile
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.2
P/E (Fwd)24.5
Mkt Cap$1.13T
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn22.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyIAG
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of the NICO Group's annual reinsurance premium currently derives from a 20% quota-share agreement with Insurance Australia Group Limited ("IAG")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Item 5.02(c) officer appointment filed May 7, 2026 (event date May 2). Body states appointment was 'as previously announced'; remainder truncated. Per 10-K, Gregory E. Abel succeeded Warren E. Buffett as CEO effective January 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
88 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $744500.21Resistance $800000.00

Price Targets

A.Upside-14.8%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.8% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-07 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRK-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $798000.00 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $782184.30. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRK-A stock price target?

Analyst target $679577.34 reached (−14.8% from $798000.00); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $782184.30. Stop-loss: $782184.30.

What are the risks of investing in BRK-A?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away).

Is BRK-A overvalued or undervalued?

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.2 (forward 24.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BRK-A?

10 analysts cover BRK-A with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $799503.

What does Berkshire Hathaway Inc. do?Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance...

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with principal businesses in insurance (GEICO, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and BH Primary Group), freight rail through BNSF Railway, and utilities/energy through Berkshire Hathaway Energy, alongside diverse manufacturing and retailing subsidiaries. The company employed approximately 387,800 people worldwide at year-end 2025, with insurance float of approximately $176 billion providing the core investment capital base.

Related stocks: BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway Inc. New) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · BX (Blackstone Inc.) · BLK (BlackRock, Inc.) · GS (Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The))
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