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Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, (MUFG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.90 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. operates as a bank holding company that engages in a range of financial businesses in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. It operates through seven segments: Digital Services, Retail & Commercial Banking,... Read more

$17.90+2.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#13 of 19 Banks - Diversified
Stop $17.25Target $18.27(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$18.42+2.9%2 analysts
$18.27our TP
$17.90price
$18.42mean
$15
$22

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.90 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$196.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn22.8%
ROE6.1%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta0.29
Dividend2.83%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$8-58.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Growth Rank
3.7
Value Rank
5.3
GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.98Resistance $18.64

Price Targets

$17
$18
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-15 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MUFG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.90 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.25. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MUFG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.27 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $17.25. Stop-loss: $17.25.

What are the risks of investing in MUFG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MUFG overvalued or undervalued?

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MUFG?

19 analysts cover MUFG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, do?Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. operates as a bank holding company that engages in a range of financial businesses...

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. operates as a bank holding company that engages in a range of financial businesses in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia/Oceania, and internationally. It operates through seven segments: Digital Services, Retail & Commercial Banking, Japanese Corporate & Investment Banking, Global Commercial Banking, Asset Management & Investor Services, Global Corporate & Investment Banking, and Global Markets. The company offers commercial banking, trust banking, and securities products and services to retail and small-and medium-sized enterprise customers. It also provides mergers and acquisitions, debt and equity issuance, financial advice, and real estate-related services; credit cards; and trust banking and securities products and services, as well as engages in the lending, fund settlement, inheritance, asset management, business and asset succession solutions, and foreign exchange businesses. In addition, the company offers corporate banking services, such as project finance, export credit agency finance, and financing through asset-backed commercial paper; investment and transaction banking services for corporations, financial institutions, sovereign and multinational organizations, and institutional investors; and asset management and investor services, including pension fund management and administration, pension structure advisory, payments to beneficiaries, and investment trust services for retail customers. Further, it provides loans, deposits, fund transfers, hedging, and investment services, as well as corporate customers; finances for automotive and consumer goods; sells and trades in fixed-income instruments, currencies, equities, and equities; offers investment products comprising mutual funds, structured bonds, and notes; originates and distributes of financial products; and provides insurance and treasury services. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

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