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BRK-BBerkshire Hathaway Inc. NewHold6.2·$504.69-0.44%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Berkshire Hathaway screens attractively valued at a PEG of 0.19 with strong margins and three beats in the last four quarters, but the current price of $487 has exceeded the analyst consensus target of $481.18, leaving the risk/reward unfavorable and the setup better suited to patience than to adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation FundamentalsImproving
  • Target Reached Limited UpsideDeteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Streak RecentImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. New (BRK-B) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $504.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with primary businesses in insurance (GEICO, BH Primary Group, and BHRG), freight rail (BNSF), and utilities and energy (BHE), plus diverse manufacturing, services, and retail subsidiaries. Insurance float of approximately $176 billion at... Read more

$504.69-7.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#5 of 13 Insurance - Diversified
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.67%
Stop $485.45Target $526.99(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$547.67+8.5%3 analysts
$526.99our TP
$504.69price
$547.67mean
$604

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $504.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Sat, Nov 7, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.7
P/E (Fwd)22.9
Mkt Cap$1.08T
EV/EBITDA-1.8
Profit Mgn22.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.52bearish
Max Pain$650+28.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyIAG quota-share
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of the NICO Group's annual reinsurance premium currently derives from a 20% quota-share agreement with Insurance Australia Group Limited ("IAG")'
  • MEDIUMProductequity securities in few issuers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We concentrate a high percentage of the equity security investments of our insurance subsidiaries in relatively small number of issuers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Item 5.02(c) officer appointment (previously announced). Body truncated in available source; specific officer name and role not determinable from filed portion. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $486.06Resistance $537.74

Price Targets

$485
$527
A.Upside-7.6%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-07 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRK-B stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $504.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $526.99 (+4.4%), stop $485.45 (−4.0%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BRK-B stock price target?

Take-profit target: $526.99 (-7.6% upside). Target $526.99 (+4.4%), stop $485.45 (−4.0%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $485.45.

What are the risks of investing in BRK-B?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is BRK-B overvalued or undervalued?

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. New trades at a P/E of 12.7 (forward 22.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BRK-B?

10 analysts cover BRK-B with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $548.

What does Berkshire Hathaway Inc. New do?Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with primary businesses in insurance (GEICO, BH Primary Group, and BHRG),...

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with primary businesses in insurance (GEICO, BH Primary Group, and BHRG), freight rail (BNSF), and utilities and energy (BHE), plus diverse manufacturing, services, and retail subsidiaries. Insurance float of approximately $176 billion at end of 2025 funds an unusually equity-concentrated investment portfolio. The company employed approximately 387,800 people worldwide at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: BRK-A (Berkshire Hathaway Inc.) · BX (Blackstone Inc.) · MS (Morgan Stanley) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,)
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