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BFSSaul Centers, Inc.Sell5.8·$37.07-1.01%
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Saul Centers, Inc. (BFS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, which currently operates and manages a real estate portfolio of 62 properties which includes (a) 59 community and neighborhood shopping centers and mixed-use properties with... Read more

$37.07+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#9 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.87%
IncomeYield6.30%(5y avg 6.01%)Payout222.64%
Stop $35.35Target $37.65(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$43.50+17.3%2 analysts
$37.65our TP
$37.07price
$43.50mean
$47

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.3
P/E (Fwd)27.5
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.89
Dividend6.30%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV109%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.02Resistance $38.42

Price Targets

$35
$38
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.35. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.65 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $35.35. Stop-loss: $35.35.

What are the risks of investing in BFS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5.

Is BFS overvalued or undervalued?

Saul Centers, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.3 (forward 27.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BFS?

6 analysts cover BFS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Saul Centers, Inc. do?Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, which...

Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, which currently operates and manages a real estate portfolio of 62 properties which includes (a) 59 community and neighborhood shopping centers and mixed-use properties with approximately 10.5 million square feet of leasable area and (b) three land and development properties. Over 85% of the Saul Centers' property operating income is generated by properties in the metropolitan Washington, DC/Baltimore area. Saul Centers, Inc. was established on June 10, 1993 and incorporated in Maryland, USA.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation)
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