Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FRT stock price target?

Entry $105.28, take-profit $110.83 (+5.3% upside). Target $110.83 (-0.0%), stop $102.16 (−8.5%), A.R:R -1.1:1.

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.0% away).

Federal Realty Investment Trust is a retail-focused REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties (~28.8M commercial sq ft) in major coastal U.S. markets, 96.1% leased as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily from lease agreements; FRT has paid and increased... Read more

$110.84+5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 23 REIT - Retail

Entry $105.28(5% below current)Stop $102.16Target $110.83(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1

Analyst target$116.05+4.7%19 analysts

$110.83our TP

$110.84price

$116.05mean

$103

$133

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.0% away). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $110.82 has reached target $110.83. No upside to wait for. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (2.0% away)

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.6

P/E (Fwd)34.8

Mkt Cap$9.6B

EV/EBITDA18.3

Profit Mgn32.1%

ROE12.2%

Rev Growth7.5%

Beta0.99

Dividend4.06%

Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C48.95bearish

IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMGeographicgeographically concentrated markets
10-K Item 1A: 'We have properties that are geographically concentrated, and adverse economic or real estate market declines in these areas could have a material adverse effect on us.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
On April 14, 2026, Federal Realty OP LP terminated its Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (dated October 5, 2022) upon entering a new Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement providing an updated revolving credit facility.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.115%0.61

Quality6.515%0.97

Growth7.215%1.08

Momentum5.410%0.54

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.210%0.52

Technical Setup5.55%0.28

Risk Profile6.65%0.33

Catalyst7.35%0.36

Overall (Σ contributions)5.82

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

58 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $105.46Resistance $113.09

Price Targets

$102

$105

$111

A.Upside-0.0%

A.R:R-1.1:1

Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FRT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $110.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.0% away). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $110.82 has reached target $110.83. No upside to wait for. Target $110.83 (-0.0%), stop $102.16 (−8.5%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.83 (+5.3% upside). Target $110.83 (-0.0%), stop $102.16 (−8.5%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $102.16.

What are the risks of investing in FRT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.0% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is FRT overvalued or undervalued?

Federal Realty Investment Trust trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward 34.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FRT?

24 analysts cover FRT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Federal Realty Investment Trust do?Federal Realty Investment Trust is a retail-focused REIT owning 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use properties...