Skip to main content
FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustHold6.1·$123.38-1.07%
Open full analysis

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: retail real estate projects; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Federal Realty Investment Trust owns and manages 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use real estate projects totaling approximately 28.8 million commercial square feet, primarily in major U.S. coastal markets. Revenue comes from lease agreements, with the portfolio 96.1% leased... Read more

$123.38+5.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.14%
IncomeYield3.62%(5y avg 4.13%)Payout77.82%
Entry $117.21(5% below current)Stop $113.21Target $123.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$125.78+1.9%19 analysts
$123.88our TP
$123.38price
$125.78mean
$116
$140

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: retail real estate projects; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $123.38 has reached target $123.88. No upside to wait for. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Federal Realty Investment Trust

About Federal Realty Investment Trust

Federal Realty Investment Trust owns 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use real estate projects totaling approximately 28.8 million commercial square feet, 96.1% leased at December 31, 2025, across 14 states and the District of Columbia, concentrated in major coastal markets. The portfolio is operated through Federal Realty OP LP and was 94.1% occupied at year-end. The Trust has increased dividends per common share for 58 consecutive years since its 1962 founding, employing 314 full-time employees as of February 2026.

Federal Realty generates revenue through leases structured primarily as gross leases with tenant reimbursement for operating expenses and taxes, plus percentage-rent clauses tied to tenant sales. The portfolio includes community and neighborhood shopping centers often anchored by grocery stores as well as mixed-use properties with residential and office components alongside retail. Anchor tenant space was 97.3% leased and 95.5% occupied at year-end 2025. At December 31, 2025, the Trust carried approximately $5.0 billion in total debt, of which $523.2 million was secured against 8 real estate projects and approximately 82.6% was fixed-rate or swapped to fixed. The 18 jointly owned projects require co-investor consent for sale or financing decisions, limiting disposition flexibility. Numerous commercial real estate companies compete for the same tenants and acquisitions in the company's coastal markets, and tenants face incremental competition from online retailers that could contribute to lease defaults.

Show full overview

Federal Realty's $5.0 billion debt stack carries 82.6% fixed-rate or hedged exposure at December 31, 2025, with $523.2 million secured against 8 properties and the remainder unsecured. Cross-default provisions link the revolving credit facility and public notes, such that a breach of any covenant could trigger acceleration across the full debt portfolio. In April 2026, the company entered a Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement via Form 8-K, replacing the prior Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement from October 2022, extending the refinancing runway ahead of near-term debt maturities.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Federal Realty Investment Trust's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: retail real estate projects
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.6
P/E (Fwd)40.2
Mkt Cap$10.8B
EV/EBITDA19.1
Profit Mgn38.6%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.94
Dividend3.62%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyretail real estate projects
    10-K Item 1: '104 predominantly retail real estate projects comprising approximately 28.8 million commercial square feet'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 1.01LOW
    Federal Realty OP LP entered into a Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on April 14, 2026, replacing the prior Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement dated October 5, 2022. Prior facility was $1.25 billion; new terms partially truncated in source.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-15Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Termination of Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (dated October 5, 2022) upon replacement by Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement on April 14, 2026. Concurrent refinancing; no loss of liquidity access stated.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-15Item 2.03LOW
    Creation of direct financial obligation under Federal Realty OP LP's Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement entered April 14, 2026. Dollar amounts partially truncated in source.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.5
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.7
P Ocf
6.4
P/OCF: 17.3x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVE8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $113.75Resistance $126.41

Price Targets

$113
$117
$124
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-1.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $123.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: retail real estate projects; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $123.38 has reached target $123.88. No upside to wait for. Target $123.88 (+0.4%), stop $113.21 (−9.0%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $123.88 (+5.7% upside). Target $123.88 (+0.4%), stop $113.21 (−9.0%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $113.21.

What are the risks of investing in FRT?

Concentration risk — Property Type: retail real estate projects; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Is FRT overvalued or undervalued?

Federal Realty Investment Trust trades at a P/E of 21.6 (forward 40.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FRT?

24 analysts cover FRT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $126.

What does Federal Realty Investment Trust do?Federal Realty Investment Trust owns and manages 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use real estate projects totaling...

Federal Realty Investment Trust owns and manages 104 predominantly retail and mixed-use real estate projects totaling approximately 28.8 million commercial square feet, primarily in major U.S. coastal markets. Revenue comes from lease agreements, with the portfolio 96.1% leased and 94.1% occupied at December 31, 2025. The Trust has paid quarterly dividends since its 1962 founding and has raised dividends per common share for 58 consecutive years.

Related stocks: NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · UE (Urban Edge Properties) · SKT (Tanger Inc.) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru)
Home Stocks FRT

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com8d ago
The Globe and Mail8d ago
Biometric Update6d agoLegal
MSN6d ago
GuruFocus9d ago
MSN5d ago
MarketWatch12d ago
Investing.com12d ago
Yahoo Finance12d ago
Citybiz12d ago
Benzinga9d ago
Benzinga16d agoAnalyst
Benzinga16d ago
Benzinga19d agoAnalyst
Benzinga21d agoAnalyst
Benzinga22d ago
Benzinga22d agoAnalyst
Benzinga29d ago
Benzinga30d agoAnalyst
Benzinga34d agoAnalyst
Loading more...