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BBYBest Buy Co., Inc.Hold5.5·$77.53-1.27%
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Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech... Read more

$77.53+0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.91%
IncomeYield4.89%(5y avg 4.39%)Payout70.56%
Stop $72.08Target $77.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$78.65+1.4%20 analysts
$77.92our TP
$77.53price
$78.65mean
$60
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$16.6B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn2.7%
ROE39.1%
Rev Growth1.9%
Beta1.33
Dividend4.89%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.03bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$69-11.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On April 22, 2026, Best Buy Co., Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $56.10Resistance $79.51

Price Targets

$72
$78
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.53, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $77.92 (+0.5%), stop $72.08 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BBY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.92 (+0.5% upside). Target $77.92 (+0.5%), stop $72.08 (−7.6%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $72.08.

What are the risks of investing in BBY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Is BBY overvalued or undervalued?

Best Buy Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BBY?

30 analysts cover BBY with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $79.

What does Best Buy Co., Inc. do?We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology...

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech expertise and a human touch to meet our customers' everyday needs, whether they come to us online, visit our stores or invite us into their homes. We have operations in the U.S. and Canada.

Related stocks: MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited) · FIVE (Five Below, Inc.) · BBWI (Bath & Body Works, Inc.) · MUSA (Murphy USA Inc.) · BOBS (Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.)
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