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Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech... Read more

$59.58+10.0% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#16 of 18 Specialty Retail
Stop $56.42Target $65.25(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$72.50+21.7%20 analysts
$65.25our TP
$59.58price
$72.50mean
$90

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 28d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$12.3B
EV/EBITDA5.6
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE37.0%
Rev Growth-1.0%
Beta1.37
Dividend6.54%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$45-24.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On April 22, 2026, Best Buy Co., Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Revenue shrinking — -1.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 28d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.17Resistance $68.20

Price Targets

$56
$65
A.Upside+9.5%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-28 (28d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $59.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $56.42. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BBY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.25 (+10.0% upside). Prior stop was $56.42. Stop-loss: $56.42.

What are the risks of investing in BBY?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.

Is BBY overvalued or undervalued?

Best Buy Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BBY?

30 analysts cover BBY with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $73.

What does Best Buy Co., Inc. do?We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology...

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech expertise and a human touch to meet our customers' everyday needs, whether they come to us online, visit our stores or invite us into their homes. We have operations in the U.S. and Canada.

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