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BBYBest Buy Co., Inc.Hold5.3·$93.87
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Best Buy earns a high return on equity (43%) and pays a 4.0% dividend, but the price is far above the analyst target, insiders are selling heavily and business quality is below average.

Thesis pillars

  • High Roe No Moat→Stable
  • Price Above Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
  • Heavy Insider Selling→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech... Read more

$93.87-15.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#16 of 23 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.13%
IncomeYield4.09%(5y avg 4.39%)Payout63.56%
Stop $87.30Analyst target $79.06(reached)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst consensus$87.85-6.4%20 analysts with price targets
$93.87price
$87.85mean
$71
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Best Buy Co., Inc.

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:54:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 24, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$19.7B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE43.1%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta1.21
Dividend4.09%
Analysts with ratings30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$74-21.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.65Resistance $100.58

Price Targets

A.Upside-15.8%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.8% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-24 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $79.06 reached (−15.8%), stop $87.30 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the BBY stock price target?

Analyst target $79.06 reached (−15.8% from $93.87); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $79.06 reached (−15.8%), stop $87.30 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $87.30.

What are the risks of investing in BBY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is BBY overvalued or undervalued?

Best Buy Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BBY?

30 analysts rate BBY, with a consensus score of 3.2/5. 20 analysts publish price targets averaging $88.

What does Best Buy Co., Inc. do?We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology...

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech expertise and a human touch to meet our customers' everyday needs, whether they come to us online, visit our stores or invite us into their homes. We have operations in the U.S. and Canada.

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