Skip to main content

Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $57.88: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech... Read more

$57.88+11.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#15 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield6.91%
IncomeYield6.82%(5y avg 4.35%)Payout75.40%
Stop $54.38Target $64.39(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$71.55+23.6%20 analysts
$64.39our TP
$57.88price
$71.55mean
$90

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $57.88: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Best Buy Co., Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On April 22, 2026, Best Buy Co., Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.5
P/E (Fwd)8.3
Mkt Cap$12.2B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE37.0%
Rev Growth-1.0%
Beta1.25
Dividend6.82%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.76bearish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$76+31.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (b) On April 22, 2026, Best Buy Co., Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -1.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $55.10Resistance $68.20

Price Targets

$54
$64
A.Upside+11.2%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-28 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $57.88: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $54.38. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the BBY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.39 (+11.2% upside). Prior stop was $54.38. Stop-loss: $54.38.

What are the risks of investing in BBY?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is BBY overvalued or undervalued?

Best Buy Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.5 (forward 8.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BBY?

30 analysts cover BBY with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Best Buy Co., Inc. do?We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology...

We were incorporated in the state of Minnesota in 1966. We are driven by our purpose to enrich lives through technology and our vision to personalize and humanize technology solutions for every stage of life. We accomplish this by leveraging our unique combination of tech expertise and a human touch to meet our customers' everyday needs, whether they come to us online, visit our stores or invite us into their homes. We have operations in the U.S. and Canada.

Related stocks: MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited) · FIVE (Five Below, Inc.) · BOBS (Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc.) · ULTA (Ulta Beauty, Inc.) · EYE (National Vision Holdings, Inc.)