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BBDBanco Bradesco SaSell5.5·$3.60-1.64%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank screens attractively valued at a forward price-to-earnings of 6.2x with a 44% margin of safety and strong margins of 25%, but a Piotroski score of 3 out of 9 and weak growth cap conviction; with all momentum and asymmetry gates cleared and recent earnings coming in at or above estimates, the setup supports holding an existing position rather than adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Margin Of SafetyStable
  • Strong Margins Weak Balance SheetStable
  • Pullback Within Intact UptrendImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Banco Bradesco Sa (BBD) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $3.60, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Weak growth.

Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Insurance. It engages in banking operations, including investment, national, international, and... Read more

$3.60+6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#181 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.74%(5y avg 4.90%)Payout59.07%sustainable
Stop $3.42Target $3.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$4.40+22.2%5 analysts
$3.83our TP
$3.60price
$4.40mean
$6

Sell if holding. At $3.60, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Banco Bradesco Sa

Generated 2026-07-26T06:17:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 42%
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8
P/E (Fwd)6.4
Mkt Cap$38.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn25.4%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta0.25
Dividend4.74%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.5
Revenue Growth
5.1
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.30Resistance $3.74

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $3.60, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $3.42. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.83 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $3.42. Stop-loss: $3.42.

What are the risks of investing in BBD?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Weak growth.

Is BBD overvalued or undervalued?

Banco Bradesco Sa trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BBD?

18 analysts cover BBD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Banco Bradesco Sa do?Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and...

Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Insurance. It engages in banking operations, including investment, national, international, and private banking, as well as investment fund management, consortium administration, middle market and corporate activities, and leasing. The company also provides retail banking products, such as demand, savings, and time deposits, as well as mutual funds, foreign exchange services, and various loans and advances comprising overdrafts, credit cards, and loans with repayments in installments; and fund management and treasury services, corporate finance, and hedge and finance operations, which include working capital financing. In addition, it provides insurance products, such as life, pension, health, and non-life, as well as related insurance operations, supplemental pension plans, and capitalization bonds. Further, the company offers cards, consortia, service packages and fees, auctions, debt renegotiation, and accounts; and various services comprising related transactions and inquiries, profile and help, purchases and benefits, and permissions. It serves individuals, corporates, and businesses. The company was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Osasco, Brazil.

Related stocks: SFBS (ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.) · AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · ONB (Old National Bancorp) · INDB (Independent Bank Corp.)
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