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BBDBanco Bradesco SaHold5.8·$3.38
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The bank screens attractively valued at a forward price-to-earnings of 6.2x with a 44% margin of safety and strong margins of 25%, but a Piotroski score of 3 out of 9 and weak growth cap conviction; with all momentum and asymmetry gates cleared and recent earnings coming in at or above estimates, the setup supports holding an existing position rather than adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Margin Of Safety→Stable
  • Strong Margins Weak Balance Sheet→Stable
  • Pullback Within Intact Uptrend↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Banco Bradesco Sa (BBD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Negative momentum.

Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Insurance. It engages in banking operations, including investment, national, international, and... Read more

$3.38+10.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#143 of 221 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.58%(5y avg 5.14%)Payout72.96%
Stop $3.16Target $3.74(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$4.30+27.2%5 analysts
$3.74our TP
$3.38price
$4.30mean
$6

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 44%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.4
P/E (Fwd)6.4
Mkt Cap$36.6B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn26.1%
ROE13.8%
Rev Growth7.2%
Beta0.22
Dividend4.58%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
3.1
Macd
3.9
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.20Resistance $3.63

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+10.6%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $3.74 (+10.7%), stop $3.16 (−7.0%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.74 (+10.6% upside). Target $3.74 (+10.7%), stop $3.16 (−7.0%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $3.16.

What are the risks of investing in BBD?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is BBD overvalued or undervalued?

Banco Bradesco Sa trades at a P/E of 8.4 (forward 6.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BBD?

20 analysts cover BBD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Banco Bradesco Sa do?Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and...

Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Banking and Insurance. It engages in banking operations, including investment, national, international, and private banking, as well as investment fund management, consortium administration, middle market and corporate activities, and leasing. The company also provides retail banking products, such as demand, savings, and time deposits, as well as mutual funds, foreign exchange services, and various loans and advances comprising overdrafts, credit cards, and loans with repayments in installments; and fund management and treasury services, corporate finance, and hedge and finance operations, which include working capital financing. In addition, it provides insurance products, such as life, pension, health, and non-life, as well as related insurance operations, supplemental pension plans, and capitalization bonds. Further, the company offers cards, consortia, service packages and fees, auctions, debt renegotiation, and accounts; and various services comprising related transactions and inquiries, profile and help, purchases and benefits, and permissions. It serves individuals, corporates, and businesses. The company was incorporated in 1943 and is headquartered in Osasco, Brazil.

Related stocks: AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo) · RNST (Renasant Corporation) · ONB (Old National Bancorp) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · SFBS (ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.)
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