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BBDBanco Bradesco SaHold6.4·$2.57
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Banco Bradesco trades at a forward P/E of 5.3x with a 9.1% dividend and heavy insider buying of $96.9M, giving 49.1% upside to the analyst target, but momentum is 1.9/10 after a 44% drawdown.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value High Dividend↑Improving
  • Large Insider Buying↑Improving
  • Analyst Upside And Asymmetry↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Banco Bradesco Sa (BBD) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Banking and Insurance. The company engages in banking operations, including investment, national, international, and... Read more

$2.57+42.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#45 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield9.06%(5y avg 4.42%)Payout53.52%sustainable
Stop $2.39Analyst target $3.67(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst consensus$4.22+64.3%6 analysts with price targets
$3.67Analyst target
$2.57price
$4.22mean
$5

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 26, 2026

Recent Developments — Banco Bradesco Sa

Latest item Oct 26, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:06Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.7
P/E (Fwd)5.3
Mkt Cap$28.7B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn27.3%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth12.4%
Beta0.31
Dividend9.06%
Analysts with ratings19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.8
Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
17 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.44Resistance $4.32

Price Targets

$2
$4
A.Upside+42.9%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $3.67 (+42.9%), stop $2.39 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BBD stock price target?

Analyst target: $3.67 (+42.9% upside). Analyst target $3.67 (+42.9%), stop $2.39 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $2.39.

What are the risks of investing in BBD?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

Is BBD overvalued or undervalued?

Banco Bradesco Sa trades at a P/E of 5.7 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BBD?

19 analysts rate BBD, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $4.

What does Banco Bradesco Sa do?Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and...

Banco Bradesco S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Banking and Insurance. The company engages in banking operations, including investment, national, international, and private banking, as well as investment fund management, consortium administration, middle market and corporate activities, and leasing. It also provides retail banking products, such as demand, savings, and time deposits, as well as mutual funds, foreign exchange services, and various loans and advances comprising overdrafts, credit cards, and loans with repayments in installments; and fund management and treasury services, corporate finance, and hedge and finance operations, which include working capital financing. In addition, the company provides insurance products, such as life, pension, health, and non-life, as well as related insurance operations, supplemental pension plans, and capitalization bonds. Further, it offers cards, consortia, service packages and fees, auctions, debt renegotiation, and accounts; and various services comprising related transactions and inquiries, profile and help, purchases and benefits, and permissions. The company serves individuals, corporates, and businesses. Banco Bradesco S.A. was founded in 1943 and is headquartered in Osasco, Brazil.

Related stocks: COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · TOWN (Towne Bank) · AX (Axos Financial, Inc.) · WF (Woori Financial Group Inc.)
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