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BAPCredicorp Ltd.Sell5.9·$384.19+1.22%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Credicorp combines 26% year-over-year revenue growth, 33% margins, and industry-leading peer rankings on both growth and return on equity, at a forward price-to-earnings of 10.9x with a PEG ratio of 0.68 — but the stock sits just 1.9% below near-term resistance, limiting immediate upside for new capital even as the fundamental setup remains constructive for existing holders.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Leading Growth RateStable
  • Superior Peer RankingStable
  • Attractive Valuation Relative To GrowthStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Credicorp Ltd. (BAP) Stock Analysis

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $384.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Credicorp Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services and products in Peru, Bermuda, Colombia, Bolivia, Panama, Chile, the United States, the Cayman Islands, and Mexico. It operates through Universal Banking; Insurance, Medical Services, and Pensions;... Read more

$384.19-4.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#121 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.80%(5y avg 3.02%)Payout53.95%sustainable
Stop $362.31Target $441.82(default +15%)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$422.69+10.0%14 analysts
$441.82our TP
$384.19price
$422.69mean
$219
$480

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $384.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.1
P/E (Fwd)11.3
Mkt Cap$30.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.1%
ROE20.4%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.86
Dividend3.80%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV42%normal
Max Pain$420+9.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $364.49Resistance $396.02

Price Targets

$362
$442
A.Upside-4.3%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $384.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $362.31. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $441.82 (-4.3% upside). Prior stop was $362.31. Stop-loss: $362.31.

What are the risks of investing in BAP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is BAP overvalued or undervalued?

Credicorp Ltd. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BAP?

14 analysts cover BAP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $423.

What does Credicorp Ltd. do?Credicorp Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services and products in Peru, Bermuda,...

Credicorp Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking services and products in Peru, Bermuda, Colombia, Bolivia, Panama, Chile, the United States, the Cayman Islands, and Mexico. It operates through Universal Banking; Insurance, Medical Services, and Pensions; Microfinance; and Investment Management and Advisory segments. The company grants various credits and financial instruments to individuals and legal entities; and various deposits and current accounts. It also issues insurance policies to cover losses in commercial property, transport, marine vessels, automobiles, life, health, and pensions; provides medical and health services, as well as management services of private pension funds to the affiliates. In addition, the company is involved in the management of loans, credits, and deposits and checking accounts of the small and microenterprises; provision of brokerage service and investment management services to corporations, institutional investors, governments, and foundations; structuring and placement of issues in the primary market; execution and negotiation of transactions in the secondary market; structures securitization processes for corporate customers; and manages mutual funds. Further, it engages in the provision of custody, trustee, capital markets, asset management, and payment processing services; operates digital platform for e commerce; management and development of digital businesses; and acts as a private pension fund administrator. Credicorp Ltd. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Lima, Peru.

Related stocks: ONB (Old National Bancorp) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo) · BSBR (Banco Santander Brasil SA) · NU (Nu Holdings Ltd.)
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