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ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings LimiteBuy Wait7.3·$34.55-0.20%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Atour Lifestyle combines exceptional franchise quality — wide economic moat, Piotroski 9 out of 9, return on equity of 53%, and 48% revenue growth — with an attractive valuation at a PEG of 0.13 and over 37% upside to the analyst price target; the sole near-term headwind is soft price momentum with the stock in a pullback below the 200-day moving average, suggesting the setup rewards patience for a better entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Moat FranchiseStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Earnings Execution RecoveryImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite (ATAT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Wait for pullback to $34.09. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.55. Engine's entry $34.09 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on... Read more

$34.55+30.3% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield42.54%
IncomeYield1.54%Payout43.70%sustainable
Entry $34.09(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $31.47Target $45.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst target$50.09+45.0%17 analysts
$45.08our TP
$34.55price
$50.09mean
$60

Wait for pullback to $34.09. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.55. Engine's entry $34.09 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 24, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.6
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA0.1
Profit Mgn16.8%
ROE59.1%
Rev Growth41.4%
Beta0.65
Dividend1.54%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$45+30.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.99Resistance $37.12

Price Targets

$31
$34
$45
A.Upside+30.3%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.9%
Max %3.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-24 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATAT stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $34.09. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.55. Engine's entry $34.09 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Exceptional fundamentals but wait for better entry timing. Target $45.08 (+30.5%), stop $31.47 (−9.8%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.08 (+30.3% upside). Target $45.08 (+30.5%), stop $31.47 (−9.8%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Stop-loss: $31.47.

What are the risks of investing in ATAT?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ATAT overvalued or undervalued?

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ATAT?

27 analysts cover ATAT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite do?Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of...

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on behalf of franchisees, as well as sells hotel supplies and other products. It also operates travel agency. Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Related stocks: HTHT (H World Group Limited) · WH (Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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