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ATATAtour Lifestyle Holdings LimiteSell7.5·$34.19+3.39%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Atour Lifestyle combines exceptional franchise quality — wide economic moat, Piotroski 9 out of 9, return on equity of 53%, and 48% revenue growth — with an attractive valuation at a PEG of 0.13 and over 37% upside to the analyst price target; the sole near-term headwind is soft price momentum with the stock in a pullback below the 200-day moving average, suggesting the setup rewards patience for a better entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Moat FranchiseStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Earnings Execution RecoveryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite (ATAT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

SellGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Earnings in 5 days (2026-08-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on... Read more

$34.19+29.8% A.UpsideScore 7.5/10#1 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield41.96%
IncomeYield1.60%Payout42.22%sustainable
Stop $32.13Target $44.37(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$49.30+44.2%16 analysts
$44.37our TP
$34.19price
$49.30mean
$58

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.5/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA0.1
Profit Mgn17.2%
ROE52.9%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta0.65
Dividend1.60%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.1
Volume
3.9
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.77Resistance $35.95

Price Targets

$32
$44
A.Upside+29.8%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATAT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $34.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $32.13. Score 7.5/10, high confidence.

What is the ATAT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.37 (+29.8% upside). Prior stop was $32.13. Stop-loss: $32.13.

What are the risks of investing in ATAT?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is ATAT overvalued or undervalued?

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATAT?

26 analysts cover ATAT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite do?Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of...

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops lifestyle brands in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hospitality and retail businesses; and provides hotel management services, including day-to-day management services for the hotels on behalf of franchisees, as well as sells hotel supplies and other products. It also operates travel agency. Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Related stocks: HTHT (H World Group Limited) · WH (Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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