The trucking operator converts cash exceptionally well — free cash flow at 197% of net income — but the absence of a competitive moat, quality sitting below the minimum acceptable floor, and a price that has already exceeded the resistance target with negative reward/risk make the current setup unattractive for new positioning.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Floor No Moat→Stable
- Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
- Unfavorable Risk Reward At Price↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Trucking
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $139.92: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.31; Below-average business quality.
ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers'... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $139.92: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.31; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05,2.06. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — ArcBest Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on ArcBest, Lowers Price Target to $171 — benzinga Aug 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS UBS Maintains Neutral on ArcBest, Raises Price Target to $154 — benzinga Aug 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS TD Cowen Maintains Hold on ArcBest, Lowers Price Target to $155 — benzinga Jul 30, 2026 neutral
- NEWS ArcBest Q2 Adj. EPS $2.38 Beats $2.27 Estimate, Sales $1.185B Beat $1.166B Estimate — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 positive
- NEWS Stifel Maintains Buy on ArcBest, Raises Price Target to $176 — benzinga Jul 21, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-09-04T15:02:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-16Item 2.05MEDIUM**Texas** | **0-19969** | **71-0673405** (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) **8401 McClure Drive** **Fort Smith****,****Arkansas** (Address of principal executive offices) | | **72916** (Zip Code) Registrant's telephon...SEC filing →
- 2026-07-16Item 2.06MEDIUM**Texas** | **0-19969** | **71-0673405** (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | (Commission File Number) | (IRS Employer Identification No.) **8401 McClure Drive** **Fort Smith****,****Arkansas** (Address of principal executive offices) | | **72916** (Zip Code) Registrant's telephon...SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $139.92: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.31; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $130.13. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.57 (+6.2% upside). Prior stop was $130.13. Stop-loss: $130.13.
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -3.6%), Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.09% of cap).
ArcBest Corporation trades at a P/E of 196.2 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover ARCB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $171.
What does ArcBest Corporation do?ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a...
ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers' supply chain needs. We serve as a single end-to-end logistics partner with global reach.