A perfect four-quarter earnings beat record and an attractively priced forward multiple cannot overcome a business quality score that sits just below the minimum acceptable floor, a 9% revenue decline, and a stock that leaves less than 1% of upside to its near-term target — the setup does not support new investment at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Forward Valuation→Stable
- Quality Below Minimum Floor→Stable
- Declining Revenue Top Line→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.17: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Apollo Global Management, founded in 1990, is a global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with $938.4 billion in total AUM as of December 31, 2025, across Asset Management, Retirement Services (conducted through Athene), and Principal Investing segments.... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.17: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About Apollo Global Management, Inc.
About Apollo Global Management, Inc.
Apollo Global Management had $938.4 billion in total assets under management at December 31, 2025, spanning three segments — Asset Management, Retirement Services, and Principal Investing. The credit strategy dominated with $749.2 billion of AUM, including $302.1 billion in direct origination and $282.7 billion in asset-backed finance. The equity strategy held $189.2 billion, and origination volumes across the platform reached $309 billion in 2025, with core credit and origination platforms accounting for approximately 45% and 40% of that total, respectively.
Apollo generates fee-related earnings from the Asset Management segment through management fees and performance fees on invested capital. The Retirement Services segment, conducted through Athene, generates spread income by combining long-duration liability sourcing — through fixed rate, fixed indexed, registered index-linked, and payout annuities — with Apollo's origination and asset management capabilities. Apollo managed or advised $392.2 billion of fee-generating AUM in accounts owned by or related to Athene as of December 31, 2025. Athora, a European life insurance reinsurance platform, represented $57.2 billion of AUM. Perpetual capital structures — which include certain credit strategy assets, origination platform assets, and retirement services client assets — comprised $535.6 billion, approximately 57% of total AUM. Apollo acquired Bridge Investment Group Holdings in 2025, a real estate fund manager focused on residential and industrial properties in the United States.
Show full overview
A material portion of Apollo's fee-generating AUM is tied to Athene: $386.5 billion of fee-generating AUM was in Athene accounts at December 31, 2025. The 10-K notes that Athene's liabilities are sensitive to changing market factors and that in times of economic hardship policyholders may defer or stop paying insurance premiums or surrender policies — conditions that could weigh on Athene's liability origination and, in turn, on the management fee base Apollo derives from Athene's investment portfolio.
See also: Financial Services · Asset Management
From Apollo Global Management, Inc. 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Apollo Global Management, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Apple, Meta, Alphabet And A Financial Stock On CNBC’s ‘Final Trades’ — benzinga Jul 7, 2026 neutral
- NEWS CNBC Halftime Report Final Trades: Apple, Meta Platforms, Alphabet Class A, Apollo Global Management — benzinga Jul 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS GFL Environmental Explores Sale as Stock Slumps — benzinga Jul 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Blue Owl Records $4.7 Billion In Redemption Requests As Private Credit Pressure Lingers — benzinga Jul 2, 2026 negative
- NEWS Private Equity Targets Healthcare and AI Infrastructure as Core Growth Engines — benzinga Jul 1, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-07-07T13:21:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductCredit strategy10-K Item 1: 'Credit is our largest asset management strategy with $749.2 billion of AUM as of December 31, 2025'
- MEDIUMcounterpartyAthene10-K Item 1: 'Apollo managed or advised $392.2 billion of AUM, of which $386.5 billion was Fee-Generating AUM, in accounts owned by or related to Athene'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -9.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $122.17: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $113.62. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $136.06 (+11.4% upside). Prior stop was $113.62. Stop-loss: $113.62.
Concentration risk — Product: Credit strategy; Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).
Apollo Global Management, Inc. trades at a P/E of 74.6 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover APO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $151.
What does Apollo Global Management, Inc. do?Apollo Global Management, founded in 1990, is a global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with...
Apollo Global Management, founded in 1990, is a global alternative asset manager and retirement services provider with $938.4 billion in total AUM as of December 31, 2025, across Asset Management, Retirement Services (conducted through Athene), and Principal Investing segments. The firm earns fee-related earnings from investment management and spread income from Athene's annuity business. Perpetual capital structures represent approximately 57% of total AUM, supporting continuous capital deployment.