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ANFAbercrombie & Fitch CompanyHold6.0·$92.42+0.11%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Abercrombie & Fitch combines an attractively priced forward multiple of 7.7x with a solid Piotroski score and three consecutive earnings beats, but the risk/reward at current prices is unfavorable, the stock is overbought near-term, and free cash flow covers only 57% of reported net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With Inline CaveatStable
  • Attractive Valuation Peer RelativeStable
  • Free Cash Flow Quality GapStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; Weak growth.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and... Read more

$92.42+4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 16 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.90%
Stop $85.95Target $96.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$111.30+20.4%10 analysts
$96.83our TP
$92.42price
$111.30mean
$78
$136

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.8%
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.9
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE39.2%
Rev Growth1.5%
Beta0.91
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam vendors37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'
  • MEDIUMSupplierCambodia vendors26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.2
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
3.9
Gap
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Earnings Growth
4.9
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $74.42Resistance $94.81

Price Targets

$86
$97
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.8%; Weak growth. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $96.83 (+4.8%), stop $85.95 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.83 (+4.8% upside). Target $96.83 (+4.8%), stop $85.95 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $85.95.

What are the risks of investing in ANF?

Thin upside margin: 4.8%; Weak growth.

Is ANF overvalued or undervalued?

Abercrombie & Fitch Company trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ANF?

18 analysts cover ANF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $111.

What does Abercrombie & Fitch Company do?Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829...

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and 26% from Cambodia in Fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: BKE (Buckle, Inc. (The)) · VSCO (Victorias Secret & Co.) · GAP (Gap, Inc. (The)) · VSXY (Victorias Secret & Co.) · BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.)
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