Skip to main content
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch CompanyBuy Wait5.6·$105.78-2.79%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Abercrombie & Fitch combines an attractively priced forward multiple of 7.7x with a solid Piotroski score and three consecutive earnings beats, but the risk/reward at current prices is unfavorable, the stock is overbought near-term, and free cash flow covers only 57% of reported net income.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak With Inline CaveatImproving
  • Attractive Valuation Peer RelativeImproving
  • Free Cash Flow Quality GapStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Wait for pullback to $103.80. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $105.78. Engine's entry $103.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and... Read more

$105.78-9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 18 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.86%
Entry $103.80(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $94.05Target $117.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$112.36+6.2%11 analysts
$117.52our TP
$105.78price
$112.36mean
$87
$136

Wait for pullback to $103.80. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $105.78. Engine's entry $103.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(5), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.9
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE39.2%
Rev Growth1.5%
Beta0.92
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.32bearish
IV87%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam vendors37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'
  • MEDIUMSupplierCambodia vendors26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 37% and 26% of cost of merchandise receipts during Fiscal 2025 were from vendors located in Vietnam and Cambodia, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Earnings Growth
4.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.6
Macd
2.8
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $90.07Resistance $119.92

Price Targets

$94
$104
$118
A.Upside-9.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.6% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANF stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $103.80. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $105.78. Engine's entry $103.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $117.52 (+11.1%), stop $94.05 (−12.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.52 (-9.6% upside). Target $117.52 (+11.1%), stop $94.05 (−12.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $94.05.

What are the risks of investing in ANF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is ANF overvalued or undervalued?

Abercrombie & Fitch Company trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ANF?

19 analysts cover ANF with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $112.

What does Abercrombie & Fitch Company do?Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829...

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. sells apparel and accessories through Abercrombie and Hollister brand families via 829 company-owned and 60 franchise stores globally plus digital channels. Merchandise is sourced from approximately 124 vendors in 15 countries, with 37% from Vietnam and 26% from Cambodia in Fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: BKE (Buckle, Inc. (The)) · BOOT (Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.) · CRI (Carter's, Inc.) · GAP (Gap, Inc. (The)) · URBN (Urban Outfitters, Inc.)
Home Stocks ANF

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga80d ago
StocksToTrade80d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus80d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha80d ago
Timothysykes.com80d agoAnalyst
Qz.com80d ago
Qz.com80d ago
CNBC80d ago
StockStory80d agoEarnings
MarketBeat80d ago
MEXC80d ago
Investing.com80d ago
Yahoo Finance80d ago
GuruFocus80d agoEarnings
KING5.com80d agoEarnings
MSN80d ago
TradingView80d ago
TradingView80d ago
TradingView80d ago
TradingView80d agoEarnings
Loading more...