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AMSCAmerican Superconductor CorporaHold6.3·$37.23-6.74%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Four consecutive earnings beats against a 30% revenue growth backdrop and a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.12 frame a genuinely attractive valuation, but a price pullback to deeply oversold levels and free cash flow equal to only 5% of net income are material caution flags that must resolve before the bull case is fully trusted.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Strong 30 Percent Revenue GrowthStable
  • Oversold Pullback Within UptrendStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

American Superconductor Corpora (AMSC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); Negative momentum.

American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Grid and Wind segments. The Grid segment offers products and services that enable electric utilities,... Read more

$37.23+49.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.36%
Stop $35.19Target $55.53(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$65.33+75.5%3 analysts
$55.53our TP
$37.23price
$65.33mean
$71

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing)
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)25.0
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA65.2
Profit Mgn44.7%
ROE35.6%
Rev Growth29.6%
Beta3.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV97%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.5
Volume
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Obv
5.0
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5INSIDER 0.43%=HEAVYA.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.28Resistance $47.24

Price Targets

$35
$56
A.Upside+49.2%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.43%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMSC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $55.53 (+49.2%), stop $35.19 (−5.8%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.53 (+49.6% upside). Target $55.53 (+49.2%), stop $35.19 (−5.8%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $35.19.

What are the risks of investing in AMSC?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is AMSC overvalued or undervalued?

American Superconductor Corpora trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AMSC?

10 analysts cover AMSC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $65.

What does American Superconductor Corpora do?American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions...

American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Grid and Wind segments. The Grid segment offers products and services that enable electric utilities, industrial facilities, and traditional and renewable energy project developers to connect, transmit, and distribute power under the Gridtec Solutions brand. It provides transmission planning services, which identify power grid congestion, poor power quality, and other risks; grid interconnection solutions for wind farms and solar power plants, power quality systems, and transmission and distribution cable systems; D-VAR systems used for controlling power flow and voltage in the AC transmission system; actiVAR system, a fast-switching medium-voltage reactive compensation solution; armorVAR system installed for reactive compensation, power factor correction, loss reduction, utility bill savings, and mitigation of common power quality concerns related to power converter-based generation and load devices; D-VAR volt var optimization (VVO) that serves the distribution power grid market. This segment also offers ship protection systems, which reduce a vessel's magnetic signature; power management, power generation systems, and propulsion motors and power generators; and transformers and rectifiers; and REG systems used in a ring or loop configuration to interconnect nearby urban substations. The Wind segment designs wind turbine systems and licenses these designs to third parties under the Windtec Solutions brand. It also supplies power electronics and software-based control systems, engineered designs, and support services; and provides customer support services to wind turbine manufacturers. This segment's design portfolio comprises a range of drivetrains and power ratings of 2 megawatts and higher. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Ayer, Massachusetts.

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